Thread: Munny Model Timelines (UPDATE)

Originally Posted by deepfreeze

there was never any overnight success for you, was there? you were in this baby for the L.....O....N....G haul. i want your theories to be proven wrong.
we have to admire your stamina.

your posts, more to the point,your theories, have'nt been the most popular, i guess we would also have to admire your testicular fortitude, for hangin in there.

Correct assesment of my success. Luck does come into play from time to time, but hard work is what got me where I'm at. If it does make an overnight "bold" adjustment, great we all win and I admit I was wrong. Until that point slow grow is what the CBI/IMF said would happen and it is what we've seen. I'm not here to be "popular", I'm here to be rich.

Originally Posted by MunnyBaggs

Correct assesment of my success. Luck does come into play from time to time, but hard work is what got me where I'm at. If it does make an overnight "bold" adjustment, great we all win and I admit I was wrong. Until that point slow grow is what the CBI/IMF said would happen and it is what we've seen. I'm not here to be "popular", I'm here to be rich.

My impression of this model is a simple linear increase in the value of the dinar based on time and that the CBI/IMF has stated that the dinar will increase in value gradualy. But what else are they expected to say? The model does not take into account any changes in the economic fundamentals. This model has been around long before the CBI began their program to combat inflation, before there was any increase in oil and gas production, before there was any improvement in the investment picture, before there was any budget that operated within income or any chage in the security situation in most of Iraq. With all of these changes, wouldn't you expect a different and accelerated model of increasing the value of the dinar? Thank You.

Originally Posted by Wm.Knowles

My impression of this model is a simple linear increase in the value of the dinar based on time and that the CBI/IMF has stated that the dinar will increase in value gradualy. But what else are they expected to say? The model does not take into account any changes in the economic fundamentals. This model has been around long before the CBI began their program to combat inflation, before there was any increase in oil and gas production, before there was any improvement in the investment picture, before there was any budget that operated within income or any chage in the security situation in most of Iraq. With all of these changes, wouldn't you expect a different and accelerated model of increasing the value of the dinar? Thank You.

ya , munny , throw in some variables and some algorithms or sumthin, that model is frack- a -lackin.

Originally Posted by MunnyBaggs

Correct assesment of my success. Luck does come into play from time to time, but hard work is what got me where I'm at. If it does make an overnight "bold" adjustment, great we all win and I admit I was wrong. Until that point slow grow is what the CBI/IMF said would happen and it is what we've seen. I'm not here to be "popular", I'm here to be rich.

LOL!! Your Bogus model is not a Model but a score card of where its been. A "?Real?" Model is used to forecast future events, but your can not do that. Perhaps you should send a copy of it to the CBI so they can better hit your moving targets!!

Originally Posted by Bubba Dinar

LOL!! Your Bogus model is not a Model but a score card of where its been. A "?Real?" Model is used to forecast future events, but your can not do that. Perhaps you should send a copy of it to the CBI so they can better hit your moving targets!!

Hhhmmm, what number shall we pick today. LOL.

Originally Posted by Adster

Hhhmmm, what number shall we pick today. LOL.

Munkeybaggs is a Legend in his own Mind!!

Originally Posted by Wm.Knowles

My impression of this model is a simple linear increase in the value of the dinar based on time and that the CBI/IMF has stated that the dinar will increase in value gradualy. But what else are they expected to say? The model does not take into account any changes in the economic fundamentals. This model has been around long before the CBI began their program to combat inflation, before there was any increase in oil and gas production, before there was any improvement in the investment picture, before there was any budget that operated within income or any chage in the security situation in most of Iraq. With all of these changes, wouldn't you expect a different and accelerated model of increasing the value of the dinar? Thank You.

Howdy, Mr. Knowles, long time no talk. Actually the model does take into account all the activity you list. It grows hand in hand as the Iraqi economy grows. In the case of currency exchange value, people are making the mistake of putting the cart before the horse. They believe higher IQD value is what pushes better economics. In reality it is better oil production, infrastructure re-building, debt relief, job creation is what allows Iraq to increase IQD value to its optimum target level. Spelled out accurately by the CBI/IMF and a natural course of events. One mistake I made in releasing the last version of my model was doing it in bits and pieces. I'm currently putting the whole thing together in one single package. It'll have updated stats from 2007, some of the same tables I've already released, and a lot of new material I never did get to finish up. I think if people can read it all in one setting, it will give a clearer picture of what I see is the future of IQD value. If it's OK by Neno, I'll post it up here at RolClub. I'm aiming for Memorial Day to have it completed. Thanks for your replies.

MB,

I know you believe there will never be a large re-valuation of the Iraqi dinar. I would really like for those that think that we will see a slow, continuous rise in the value to explain to me how it will work.

With the IMF regulations requiring member nations to maintain their currency value in a (approx.) 4% range it seems to me that the entire argument would be over.

I can only see a slow rise causing massive economic problems for Iraq. If the value of a currency continually increases by (being conservative) 25% a year it seems that it would disrupt all business to the point that Iraq could not function on the world market.

Originally Posted by Adster

Hhhmmm, what number shall we pick today. LOL.

I dunno, Adman, you tell us what the newest rate will be. After all you've jumped on the .66, $1, $1.28, $1.48, $2., $3.22, and even pimping the latest $5.26 numbers. You've been all over the map on picking numbers, far wider than I ever have. I've pretty much stayed in the .01 to .20 zone for the past year. Throw a dart and give us a new overnight re-val, Adman, tis what you do best and most!!!

Actually munny's model is more right than anyone else I have heard. Slow grow is whats happeneing before our eyes how can you people deny that?