Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for January 28, 2016





When the European market opens, some economic news on the Italian 10-y Bond Auction, Spanish Unemployment Rate, German Prelim CPI m/m, and German Import Prices m/m is due to be released. The US will reveal economic data on the Natural Gas Storage, Pending Home Sales m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, Unemployment Claims, and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0947.
Strong Resistance:1.0941.
Original Resistance: 1.0930.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0919.
Target Inner Area: 1.0894.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0869.
Original Support: 1.0858.
Strong Support: 1.0847.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0841.


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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Januari 29, 2016





In Asia, Japan will release data on the BOJ Press Conference, Housing Starts y/y, BOJ Core CPI y/y, BOJ Outlook Report, Monetary Policy Statement, Prelim Industrial Production m/m, Unemployment Rate, National Core CPI y/y, Tokyo Core CPI y/y, and Household Spending y/y. The US will deliver economic data on the Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Chicago PMI, Goods Trade Balance, Employment Cost Index q/q, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, and Advance GDP q/q. So, there is a strong probability that the USD/JPY pair will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Resistance. 3: 119.20.
Resistance. 2: 118.97.
Resistance. 1: 118.74.
Support. 1: 118.45.
Support. 2: 118.22.
Support. 3: 117.99.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for February 1, 2016





Wave summary:
A very strong rally on Friday which took place after BOJ's decision to adopt the negative interest rate, looked impulsive and if a breakout above important resistance at 132.44 is seen, then we will change our preferred count to above. This count shows that an expanded flat correction we have been tracking since late December 2013 terminated at 126.05 in mid-April 2015 and was followed by an impulsive wave (i) to 141.04 and the decline from 141.04 to 126.14 was a very deep wave (ii). A breakout above 132.44 will call for wave (iii) higher to at least 150.16. If, however resistance at 132.44 is able to protect the upside for renewed downside pressure, the very complex corrective corrective pattern could still be unfolding.


Trading recommendation: We will await the outcome of the test of the resistance-line before making the next move.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for February 02, 2016


When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as PPI m/m, Unemployment Rate, Italian Monthly Unemployment Rate, German Unemployment Change, Spanish Unemployment Change.The US will release the economic data too such as Total Vehicle Sales, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, so amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0947.
Strong Resistance:1.0941.
Original Resistance: 1.0930.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0919.
Target Inner Area: 1.0894.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0869.
Original Support: 1.0858.
Strong Support: 1.0847.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0841.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for February 02, 2016





In Asia, Japan will release the 10-y Bond Auction, Monetary Base y/y and the US will release some economic data such as Total Vehicle Sales, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism. So there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 121.40.
Resistance. 2: 121.16.
Resistance. 1: 120.92.
Support. 1: 120.63.
Support. 2: 120.40.
Support. 3: 120.16.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for February 03, 2016





When the European market opens, economic news on the Retail Sales m/m, Italian Prelim CPI m/m, Final Services PMI, German Final Services PMI, French Final Services PMI, Italian Services PMI, and Spanish Services PMI is due to be released.The US will deliver the economic data on the Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0970.
Strong Resistance:1.0964.
Original Resistance: 1.0953.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0942.
Target Inner Area: 1.0917.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0892.
Original Support: 1.0881.
Strong Support: 1.0870.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0864.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 3, 2016





Wave summary:
EUR/NZD has taken a position from where a strong rally through 1.7007 and more importantly a breakout above 1.7271 can be seen anytime now. But this scenario needs support at 1.6564 to protect the downside for a breakout above minor resistance at 1.6917 and then at 1.7007. The breakout below 1.6564 will be yet another disappointment which delays the expected rally higher closer to 1.6487 and maybe even closer to 1.6370 before higher again.


Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6837 and have placed our stop at 1.6537. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy near 1.6640 or upon a breakout above 1.6780 and use the same stop at 1.6537.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February, 2016





Wave summary:
A corrective decline from 1.7271 continues to grind slowly lower and a breakout below support at 1.6564 calls for a corrective move closer to 1.6370 and possibly even slightly lower to 1.6300 before this correction is over and the next impulsive rally takes place. Only a direct breakout above resistance at 1.6681 will indicate that the correction has already completed and the next impulsive rally higher is developing towards 1.7271 and higher.


Trading recommendation:
Our stop was hit for a loss. We will be looking for a EUR-buying opportunity near 1.6370.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 5, 2016





Wave summary:
Nothing is going on here besides an annoying sideways consolidation. EUR/NZD is likely to build a base for the next larger rally towards 1.7271 and higher towards 1.8020, but we are seeing all kind of false breakouts both to the upside and to the downside. On Wednesday, we saw a breakout below minor support at 1.6507 calling for a move closer to 1.6210 and there was never a real rally through and now a test of the minor resistance line near 1.6830 seems to be unfolding. However, it will take a breakout above this resistance line and more importantly a breakout above resistance at 1.6916 to confirm that the bottom is in place for a new impulsive rally towards 1.7271 and above.


Trading recommendation:
We are looking for a EUR-buying opportunity near 1.6359 or upon a break above 1.6830.


More analysis - at instaforex.com

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for February 9, 2016


Wave summary:
A breakout above the minor channel resistance line indicated that the correction from 1.7273 had ended early at 1.6473. With a breakout above the minor resistance line and a breakout above resistance at 1.7008, we should see a continuation higher to 1.7273 en route to 1.7611 and higher to 1.8022 as the next upside targets. Support is now seen at 1.6842, which will ideally protect the downside for a rally towards 1.7273 and higher.


Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.6705 and will move our stop higher to break-even. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy near 1.6850 and use the same stop at 1.6705.


More analysis - at instaforex.com