Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 16, 2015





When the European market opens, some economic news on the German Buba Monthly Report, ECB President Draghi Speaks, Final Core CPI y/y, and Final CPI y/y is due to be released.The US will unveil economic data on the Empire State Manufacturing Index. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0775.
Strong Resistance:1.0769.
Original Resistance: 1.0758.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0747.
Target Inner Area: 1.0722.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0697.
Original Support: 1.0686.
Strong Support: 1.0675.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0669.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 17, 2015





Wave summary:
We continue watching for renewed downside pressure as the next impulsive decline towards 124.54 unfolds. We have seen the first minor impulsive wave (wave i) to 130.64 and wave ii is currently unfolding. Ideally, wave ii will stay below minor resistance at 132.30 for the next impulsive wave lower towards at least 128.78 and even lower to 126.65 in wave iii of (iii). Resistance at 132.76 now needs to protect the upside or an even more complex correction in wave (ii) than already seen is unfolding.


Trading recommendation:
We are short EUR from 132.09 and will move our stop lower to 132.80. If you are not short EUR already then sell near 132.30 with the same stop at 132.80.


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Daily analysis of GBP/JPY for November 19, 2015





Overview:
A sharp rise in GBP/JPY and a breakout of resistance at 188.28 invalidated our bearish view. Rebound from 180.36 is resuming and intraday bias is back on the upside. A further rally towards resistance at 195.86 would be seen again. In case of retreat, we will stay cautiously bullish as long as support at 185.98 holds. The breach of the medium-term trend-line support is taken as a sign of trend reversal. This is supported by bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the psychological level of 200. A breakout of 174.86 will confirm trend reversal and bring a deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we will be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00, which can finally bring reversal.


Daily Pivots: (S1) 187.59; (P) 187.92; (R1) 188.58;


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 20, 2015





When the European market opens, economic news on the Consumer Confidencem, German PPI m/m, and ECB President Draghi Speaks is due to be published. The US will not release any economic data today. So amid the reports, the EUR/USD pair will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0769.
Strong Resistance:1.0763.
Original Resistance: 1.0752.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0741.
Target Inner Area: 1.0716.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0691.
Original Support: 1.0680.
Strong Support: 1.0669.
Breakout sell level: 1.0663.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for November 23, 2015





Wave summary:
We continue to watch for a bottom for a rally towards 137.07. If a diagonal count is correct, then support at 130.13 should be able to protect the downside for a rally above 132.27 and more importantly a break above the resistance at 132.76 confirming the rally towards 137.07. Should the support at 130.13 be broken the diagonal/wedge count is invalidated and downside acceleration towards 126.05 should be expected.


Trading recommendation: We are long EUR from 131.25 with stop placed at 130.50. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy on a break above 132.27 and use the same stop, but expected to be raised quickly.


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Japan Manufacturing Growth At 20-Month High





Japan's manufacturing activity expanded at the fastest pace in twenty months in November, as output growth quickened, the latest flash survey from Markit Economics showed Tuesday. The Markit/ Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, or PMI, rose to 52.8 in November from 52.4 in October. A score above 50 indicates expansion in the sector. Manufacturing output cotniuned to grow sharply in November and the latest rate of increase was the fastest since March 2014. At the same time, new orders rose at a slower rate in November, while growth in exports orders accelerated to a five-month high. On the price fornt, input prices climbed at the fastest rate in four months, although inflation remained historically muted. The final manufacturing PMI figures will be published on 1st December


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for November 24, 2015





The pair is extending losses below the 200 SMA, as we can see on the H1 chart. Currently, the support level of 1.5100 should be challenged in order to reach another low towards the zone of 1.5062. This moving average is also pointing to the downside, so bears are still getting favored by the main bias. The MACD indicator is reaching the neutral territory and that is why we should be aware of future sideways short-term moves.


H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5142 / 1.5205
H1 chart's support levels: 1.5100 / 1.5062


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bearish candlestick; the support level is found at 1.5100, take profit is at 1.5062, and stop loss is at 1.5138.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 25, 2015





When the European market opens, economic news on the German 10-y Bond Auction, Italian Retail Sales m/m is due to be released. The US will unveil the economic data on the Natural Gas Storage, Crude Oil Inventories, Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, New Home Sales, Flash Services PMI, HPI m/m, Personal Income m/m, Personal Spending m/m, Durable Goods Orders m/m, Core PCE Price Index m/m, Unemployment Claims, and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS: Breakout buy level: 1.0701. Strong Resistance:1.0694. Original Resistance: 1.0684. Inner Sell Area: 1.0674. Target Inner Area: 1.0648. Inner Buy Area: 1.0623. Original Support: 1.0613. Strong Support: 1.0603. Breakout sell level: 1.0596.


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Daily analysis of USDX for November 26, 2015





On H1 chart, USDX tried to consolidate again above the 100.00 price zone, but the Index is trying to correct the current rally towards the 200 SMA around the support level of 99.25. If USDX does a rebound above it, then we could see another rally above the 100.24 level in the short term. That moving average is slightly bullish, but MACD indicator is on the negative territory.


H1 chart's resistance levels: 99.80 / 100.24
H1 chart's support levels: 99.25 / 98.82


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the USD Index breaks with a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 99.80, take profit is at 100.24, and stop loss is at 99.37.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for November 27, 2015





Overview:
The EUR/USD pair is still trading between the levels of 1.0674 and 1.0587. The level of 1.0674 will indicate strong resistance; moreover, the pair is likely to find minor support level of 1.0587. Therefore, it will be quite profitable to sell at 1.0674 again (short term) with the first target at 1.0587, then it will continue towards 1.0565. Also, it should be noted that strong support was found at 1.0528 in the H1 chart. On the other hand, if the pair closes above the resistance level, then the best location for placing a stop loss is seen above 1.0674. In addition, please be aware that the trend has broken the daily support 1 and 2, for that it calls for a bearish market. Equally important is that the RSI and the Moving Average (100) are still calling for a downtrend from the area of 1.0680.


Trading recommendations: The area of 1.0680 has marked a strong support spot for that it will of the wisdom to go short below the level of 1.0680 with targets at 1.0587, 1.0565, and 1.0530. However, the stop loss should be place at 1.0696.


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