Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

EUR/JPY technical analysis for July 24, 2013






Once again the 132.00 level has proven to be a strong resistance for EUR/JPY, since yesterday this level was touched by EUR/JPY; the downside movement is held by the dynamic support from EMA 34 (blue); for today EUR/JPY will test 132.00 again.


RECOMMENDATION:
BUY STOP (pending order) at 131.76.
Take profit at 131.90.
Stop loss at 131.66.

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Silver: 21.00 remains interim target for bulls






Technical outlook and chart setups:
The metal remains subdued/confined above 20.00 region for now. Minimum implications from here is that a retracement lower, before the rally resumes towards 21.00 level. Support levels are spread through 19.25 level, followed by 18.70/75 region lower; while resistance is in the 22.50 region ahead. It is recommended to remain long for now, or take profits for now and wait for a dip lower to enter again buying. Immediate support should be around the 19.50/60 region where trend line is also passing through. Looking lower for short term.


Trading recommendations:

Remain long for now, stop is at 18.70, and target is at 21.00.

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Silver finds intermediary support at 19.70




Technical outlook and chart setups:

The metal finds interim support at 19.70, just ahead of the rising trend line. Short-term view is still pointing towards a possible 21.00 mark but looking into gold setups, Silver has really been lagging behind in rallying towards fresh highs. It is recommended to book profits on long positions held earlier and remain flat for now. Aggressive traders may opt to initiate fresh short positions against the recent highs at 20.50 level. Immediate resistance is 20.50/60, followed by 22.50 on the higher side; while support is at 19.20/30 on the lower side.


Trading recommendations:
Book profits on long positions, initiate fresh shorts at 20.20/25, and stop is at 20.90.

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EUR/JPY technical analysis for July 29, 2013




This week, the EUR/JPY pair continues its Bearish situation. It is already indicated by all the three moving averages making a "Death Cross" pattern. For today if the EUR/JPY pair can breach below the 129.75, this will be the sign for this currency to continue going down.


RECOMMENDATION:
SELL Stop (Pending Order) is at 129.74.
Take Profit is at 129.60.
Stop Loss is at 129.84.

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USD/CAD technical analysis for July 30, 2013



Overview:
The resistance of USD/CAD sets at the level of 1.0425, therefore the bears are going to sell below 1.0425 because there is a double top on the price 1.0430. So it should also be noted that the resistance sets at the level of 1.0425, thus swing trade at 1.0425 in order to sell with the target of 1.0353, it might resume to 1.0250. Additionally, the trend will call for a bearish market on the level of 1.0500, there is a bearish channel. It might be informing that the stop loss should never exceed your maximum exposure amounts. Hence, set a stop loss above 1.0560. However, the USD/CAD pair has still been trapped between 1.0504 (78% of Fibonacci retracement levels) and 1.0370 (50% of Fibonacci retracement levels). At the same time, the support sets at the level of 1.0250, then the bulls are going to buy above 1.0250 with the first target of 1.0365, it might resume to 1.0430.
It should be noted that Range: 55 pips, then a risk of 46 pips must make a profit of 82.5.
Volatility: 150.85, therefore the market indicates the higher volatility. (Volatility Formulas Variation = Average * (Higher - Lower)).
In the long term if the market calls for bearish then the price will form double bottom at the level of 1.0135.

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EUR/JPY technical analysis for July 31, 2013




With all the three moving averages still making a Death Cross formation pattern, no doubt EUR/JPY will extend the downtrend today, as long it does not touch 130.50. If this level is breached, then the downtrend will hold at least for today.


RECOMMENDATION:

Sell stop (pending order) at 129.74.
Take profit at 129.60.
Stop loss at 129.84.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

EUR/USD technical analysis for August 1, 2013




Overview:
The EUR/USD's resistance was broken and it turned to support since yesterday, thus the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.3180 (this level will be formed at the weekly support 1) and a minor support will be set at the level of 1.3240. Moreover, it could not close below 1.3179 (23.6% Fibonacci retracements levels) and started indicating a bullish market, as well as the price placed above 23.6% Fibonacci for five days. Additionally, it should also be noted that the price has still been trapped between 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels and 100%. Equally important, the RSI and the moving average (50) are still calling for uptrend. Therefore, the market indicates a bullish opportunity at level of 1.3179 at H1 or daily charts with the first target of 1.3240, and continues towards 1.3340. On the other hand, if the price closes below the minor support then the best location for placing a stop loss should be below 1.3130, thus the price will fall for a bearish market in order to go further towards the strong support at 1.3130 to test it again. Furthermore, it should be noted that the level of 1.3136 is going to form a double bottom. However, the resistance for August 1, 2013 will be set at the level of 1.3340. Therefore, it will be wise to sell at this level with the first target at the weekly pivot point 1.3237, and it will continue towards 1.3179.


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USD/CHF: technical analysis for August 2, 2013




Overview:
USD/CHF: It should be noted that the price has still been trapped between 0.9380 -- 0.9343 and the price has been set below strong resistance at the level of 0.9425 (38.2% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H4 chart). Moreover, it is worth noting that these levels are coinciding between 23.6% and 38.2% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H4 chart and the pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9425 and it is now approaching it in order to test it. Therefore, the Swissy's downside momentum is rather convincing and the structure of the fall does not look corrective. In order to indicate a bearish opportunity below 0.9425 it will be a good sign to sell below 0.9425 with the first target of 0.9290 and it will call for downtrend in order to continue bearish towards 0.9228 next week in order to form double bottom at the level of 0.9228. Furthermore, it also should be noted that the price at 0.9285 will possible form a strong support (11% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H4 chart). So it will be saturation around 1.9285 to rebound the pair, as well probably the market is going to start showing the signs of bullish market. In other words, it will be a good sign to buy above 0.9290 with the first target of 0.9335 and continue towards 0.94.

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Silver: Immediate resistance seen at 12.50 level




Technical outlook and chart setups:
Silver remains locked in a trading range for now. Support region is around 19.00/20, while resistance is around 12.30/50. As depicted here, the metal broke the rising counter trend line last week and is testing the backside, which is resistance now. It is recommended to initiate fresh short positions on a bearish signal appearance here. Immediate resistance is around the 20.50 mark, followed by 21.80/22.00 region; while support is now at 18.70/80 region. Looking lower on a turn around at the backside of trend line test.



Trading recommendations:
Flat for now. Looking to initiate short positions again.

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Silver looking to move towards 19.00 before rallying




Technical outlook and chart setups:
The metal seems to hit resistance at 20.20/30 levels on Friday and the next probable move could be lower towards 19.00 level before rallying further up. Unlike Gold, the metal has been there for a while now without much wave movement. Resistance is at 20.50 level, while support is seen at 18.70 and lower. After this intermediary down move, the metal could be expected to rally towards 23.00 level and complete a 3 wave corrective rally. Aggressive trading strategy would be to remain short for now.


Trading recommendations:
Remain short, stop is above 20.50, and target is at 19.00.


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