Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for August 04, 2015





When the European market opens, some data on the PPI m/m and Spanish Unemployment Change is due.The US will release data on the Loan Officer Survey, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, and Factory Orders m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1004.
Strong Resistance:1.0998.
Original Resistance: 1.0987.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0976.
Target Inner Area: 1.0951.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0926.
Original Support: 1.0915.
Strong Support: 1.0904.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0898.


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EUR/USD Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for August 5, 2015


When the European market opens, economic data on Retail Sales m/m, Italian Industrial Production m/m, Final Services PMI, German Final Services PMI, French Final Services PMI, Italian Services PMI, and Spanish Services PMI is due. The US will unveil data about Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, Trade Balance, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0937.
Strong Resistance:1.0931.
Original Resistance: 1.0920.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0909.
Target Inner Area: 1.0884.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0859.
Original Support: 1.0848.
Strong Support: 1.0837. Breakout SELL Level: 1.0831.


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USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for August 5, 2015








Overview: When bulls pushed the price further above 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looked quite overbought. That is why, the price failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs) resulting in a formation of successive lower highs (within the depicted consolidation zone) enhancing the bearish side of the market. Daily fixation below 1.2300 opened a way towards the levels of 1.2000 and 1.1940 (the depicted weekly uptrend). Bullish support was found around these levels. Successive higher lows were established. Bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels of 1.2450 and 1.2500 (previous tops). On the other hand, the previous weekly candlestick came frank bullish. That is why, an extensive bullish movement is seen on the chart. A bullish breakout above the price zone of 1.2770-1.2800 has been executed. Earlier, signs of lacking bullish momentum were manifested on the chart. A bearish corrective movement was initiated towards the levels of 1.2900-1.2850. However, a new bullish swing is taking place today, especially after Friday's bullish engulfing candlestick. The long-term bullish projection target would be located at the level of 1.3270 if enough bullish support is maintained.


Trading recommendations: Traders can wait for a bearish pullback towards the recent breakout zone (1.2800-1.2750) for a valid buy entry as the Breakout level constitutes the recent support. Stop Loss should be located below the level of 1.2700. T/P levels should be located at 1.2850 and 1.2900.


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Technical analysis of AUD/USD for August 7, 2015


Trading recommendations: As it is known, sellers are asking for a higher price as well as buyers are looking for a lower price. Therefore, the first key level will set at 0.7420. The second key level will set at 0.7380 today. Equally important, the AUD/USD pair has been trading between 0.7420 and 0.7283. Additionally, it should be noted that the range was about 76 pips today and around 173 till next week. Furthermore, the trend was very clear and was indicating downtrend. We expect that the trend is going to call for a bearish market at the level of 0.7420 in the H1 chart (last top). As a result, sell at the level of 0.7420 with the first target at 0.7314. It might resume to 0.7283 in order to test the support. Also, it should be noted that the double bottom will set at 0.7234. On the other hand, your stop loss should be placed above the level of 0.7420, Thus, it will be helpful to set it at the level of 0.7463.


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Daily analysis of USDX for August 10, 2015


On the daily chart, the USD index made a pullback. Now it's testing the support level of 97.57. On the daily chart, we can see the bullish bias could be facing a key zone which will make the USDX retest new lows on a weekly basis because the resistance level of 98.29 remains very strong against the current bullish bias the index is following.


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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for August 10, 2015





USD/JPY is expected to trade with bullish bias. With the US dollar index traded at 97.712, the greenback has failed to hold its gains made immediately after the US government reported last Friday that non-farm sector added 215K jobs in July (vs +225K expected, +223K in June). Even though the robust number suggests that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates this year, traders expect rate increases to be slow, and the US dollar's upside is limited. USD/JPY broke above its previous key support at 124.45 and remains upside. The 20-period intraday moving average is below the 50-period one, while the intraday RSI stays within the selling area between 50 and 30. So, even though a continuation of a technical rebound cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited. The key resistance is set at 124.45 and the first upside target at 125.25 (around last Friday's low). The second downside target is set at further support at 125.60. Technical comment: The daily chart is positive-biased as stochastics is bullish, the MACD histogram bars are turned positive. Trading recommendations: The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a higher range as far as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price keeps above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 125.25 and the second target at 125.60. In an alternative scenario, if the price moves below its pivot points, short positions are recommended with the first target at 124.30. A break of this target would push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 124.10. The pivot point is at 124.45.


Resistance levels: 125.25 125.60 126
Support levels: 124.30 124.10 123.70


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USDX technical analysis for August 12, 2015





The Dollar index is testing the important short-term support level of 97. The Dollar index has made a bearish reversal towards trend line support but bulls continue to hold the upper hands. As long as price is above 97, bulls should feel safer.


Red line - resistance
Green line - support


The Dollar index has pulled back towards 97 area as expected and tested the Ichimoku cloud and the green trend line. Trend remains bullish but with some reversal signs. Bulls will be in danger if we see a daily close below 97. The double top at 98.20 is not a good sign for the next couple of weeks.


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for August 13, 2015





GBP/USD remains trapped inside the range between the 1.5640 and 1.5450 levels on the daily chart, but the slightly bullish bias is still alive. However, 200 SMA on this time frame seems to be neutral and that means the pair will try to find a solid road soon in order to continue trading higher or lower, but this stage is crucial.


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Daily analysis of major pairs for August 14, 2015





EUR/USD: The bullish signal on the EUR/USD pair is still intact. The EMA 11 is above the EMA 56 and the Williams' % Range period 20 is not too far from the overbought region. This means there is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market: the outlook is bullish.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for August 17 - 2015





Technical summary:
We continue to look for a b-wave rally to 1.7198 and maybe even higher to 1.7273 as the break above 1.7077 indicates that an expanded flat correction is unfolding. Therefore, we are looking for minor support in the 1.6890 - 1.6910 area for a move higher to 1.7198 before wave c lower to 1.6581 should be expected.
At this point, only a break below 1.6890 will confuse the picture, but only a break below support at 1.6756 will tell that wave c lower to 1.6581 already is developing.


Trading recommendation:
We are looking for a selling opportunity at 1.7185.


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