Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD


Strong bullish rejection was expressed around 1.4700 (previous weekly low). A significant bullish weekly candlestick was expressed by the end of the week. Shortly after, an evident bearish pressure was applied around 1.4960-1.5000. This price zone corresponds to 38.2% Fibonacci level as well as the previous weekly demand, which was broken back in January 2015. Transient sideways movement with slight bearish tendency has been expressed on the daily chart until bearish breakdown of the daily demand level at 1.4700 took place last week. Projection target for this consolidation breakout would be located around the price level of 1.4440.



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Technical analysis of Crude for April 15, 2015[/B]

CRUDE: Iran Oil minister Bijan Namdar wants to cut OPEC production by 5% to 30mn barrels a day. The OPEC meeting is going ahead in June 05, in Vienna. Today, OPEC secretariat is going to release the monthly market report. This can reveal individual data for countries' oil production the March. The overall OPEC oil production stands at 30.72 million barrels per day in March. We didn't expect OPEC to cut production in the coming June meeting. It's going to be a big thump up. In the context of technical analysis, crude oil gave an upside breakout from the inverse head and shoulder. Parallel resistance is seen at $54.22. A daily close above $54.22 is likely to lead to $57.00, $58.50, and $59.00 in the coming weeks. A break below $47.00 will cancel the view. In the four-hour chart, the higher highs and higher lows formation takes place. Intraday support is found at $53.07 and resistance is seen at $54.22. Weekly resistance is seen at $55.65. In the daily chart, the prices closed above 20, 50 and 100Dsma. It turned me to bullish side. In case of a close above $55.65 100Dema, the price can move towards the given upside targets. On a positional view, we recommend buying between the current market price and $50.00 with sl 47.00 and targets at $55.50, $57.00, $58.00, $59.00, and $62.00. NUTSHEEL In case the price closes above $54.22, it is likely to touch $55.50 and $57.00 In case the price closes above $55.65, it is likely to touch $59.00 and $62.00

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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for April 16, 2015

In Asia, Japan is not expected to release any ecnomic data. The US will publish data on Natural Gas Storage, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, and Building Permits. So, there is a strong probability that the USD/JPY will move with low volatility during the Asian session but with low to medium volatility during the US session.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 119.52.
Resistance. 2: 119.29.
Resistance. 1: 119.05.
Support. 1: 118.78.
Support. 2: 118.54.
Support. 3: 118.30.

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USDX technical analysis for April 17, 2015

The Dollar index continued to show signs of weakness. The price is pulling back down towards last weeks lows at 96.20. Support is being tested now at 97.05 and we should see an upward reversal or a deep correction soon.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for April 20, 2015

When the European market opens, economic data on German Buba Monthly Report and German PPI m/m are due for release.The US will not publish any economic data. So, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.

TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0861.
Strong Resistance:1.0855.
Original Resistance: 1.0844.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0833.
Target Inner Area: 1.0808.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0783.
Original Support: 1.0772.
Strong Support: 1.0761.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0755.


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Technical analysis and trading recommendation for EUR/USD for April 21, 2015[

In March 2015, theGerman Producer Price Index for industrial products fell by 1.7% compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In February 2015, the annual rate of changes all over was �2.1%. The euro edged lower against USD at yesterday's session. The pair rejected at 20Dsma and closed below that. The nearest strong support is found at 1.0700 rounded and 1.0680 34hrsma.Concerns over Greek issue added the new factor into the bearish view. The euro is likely to remain under pressure on the back of growing concerns about Greece as no agreements between Greece and its creditors had been reached. The Greek exit from the eurozone is the most likely scenario. The euro group of finance ministers meets this Friday on April 24. Bulls' last hope exists between 1.0690-1.0680. Sustaining below these levels leads to a fresh new low. Eventually, the euro looks weak moving towards 0.9000 against USD. Intraday: The pair erased a higher low and higher high strategy in the hourly chart. The hourly resistance is seen at 1.0770. The intraday strategy favors bears with sl 1.0770 and targets at 1.0700, 1.0680 1.0650, and 1.0625. The strong sell will emerge below 1.0680 towards 1.0650 and 1.0625 immediately. Today, traders eye on ZEW German economic sentiment and ZEW economic sentiment. At February and March, the German ZEW readings are in negative mode. We expect the same bias in April as well. But the ZEW economic sentiment has been ticking up for five consecutive months. From November 2014, onwards the readings turned to a positive note. In April, we expect positive readings. In this case, we recommend buying above 1.0780 with targets at 1.0800, 1.0820, and 1.0845.

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Daily analysis of major pairs for April 22, 2015


EUR/USD: The bearish run started on Monday nearly rendered the recent bullish outlook useless, but the price was able to shrug off further bearish sentiment, going above the EMA 56. The recent bullish outlook is supported and further northward movement may lead to more support for the bullish outlook.


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Technical analysis and trading recommendation of GBP/USD for April 23, 2015

The Monetary Policy Committee meeting held on 8 and 9 April 2015. A fall in energy prices had been the largest single contributor to declines in headline inflation in the United Kingdom and in many other countries since summer 2014. The Committee set monetary policy to meet the 2% inflation target in the medium term and in a way that helped to sustain growth and employment. The Committee's guidance on the likely pace and extent of interest rate rises was an expectation, not a promise. Before the general election on May 07, 2015 the BoE officials voted unanimously to keep interest rate at 0.5%. Until the new government has been formed we cannot expect news from the monetary policy committee. Today, traders eye on the UK retail sales. The March readings gave an optimistic look on the retail sale. Technical view: The pound surged against USD towards 50Dsma. At yesterday's session, the cable breached the 50dsma in intraday, but was unable to close above that. The pound is trading at 1.5024 at Thursday's Asia's session; compare to 1.5037 Wednesday's closing. In the four-hour chart, the cable has been making bullish inverse head and shoulder pattern. The price has been trading at the verge of the breakout. At yesterday's session, the cable exactly rejected the upper end of the neckline. In case, if the price taken out the neckline we can expect further bullish bias towards 1.5160 March 18 high initially. Intraday support finds at 1.5010. We recommend selling below 1.5000 with targets at 1.4975 and 1.4940. The 34hrsma finds at 1.4935 below this 1.4850 is the major support for coming days. On the higher side, we recommend buying above 1.5080 with targets at 1.5100, 1.5150, and 1.5160 initially, and at 1.5190 and 1.5210 later.


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Technical analysis and trading recommendation for EUR/USD for April 24, 2015

The euro paused its 3-day losing streak gave a strong pullback towards the resistance zone. After the dismissal PMI data, the euro slipped towards 1.0666 made a double bottom at 1.0660 flew to the previous swing high 1.0850. The pair rejected at the resistance level, managed to close at 1.0824. The price has been consolidating 190 pips between 1.0660 and 1.0850. A side breakout is likely to provide room for trade. The double top and double bottom was place between the tight ranges. The soft US data helped the pair to move higher. Developments in Greece helped the euro to strengthen. Greek Prime Minister says "Group of negotiations with Brussels has made "significant progress" will soon reach an agreement for optimism". French and German PMI data was disappointed in April compared to data released in March. At today's Asian session, the euro is trading at 1.0808 against USD compared to the previous day close 1.0824. Ahead of today's major event, the Eurogroup's meeting, the euro is trading lower against USD. Intraday support is found at 1.0800. The support level at 1.0750 is the key driver for today's session. We recommend intraday selling below 1.0790 with targets at 1.0750, 1.0720, 1.0700, and 1.0670. The 61.8 fib expansion level of 1.0865 acts as intraday strong resistance. We recommend buying above 1.0870 with targets at 1.0890, 1.0950, and 1.0990. Whereas, 1.0910 50Ddsma acts as a major hurdle for bulls to cross for the next higher targets. Trade: Buying above 1.0870 Selling below 1.0790

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Technical analysis of Silver for April 27, 2015

Technical outlook and chart setups: Silver had dropped to the level of $15.60 on Friday but it recovered to $15.85 as seen here. The metal produced a bullish morning star pattern on the 4-hour chart view indicating a potential rally ahead. It is hence recommended to remain long with risk below $15.30. Bulls might be poised to drag prices higher until the metal remains above $15.30 from here on. A push through the levels of $16.00 would confirm the same. Immediate support is seen at $15.60 followed by $15.30/40 and lower, while resistance is seen at $16.00 followed by $16.40/50, $17.40/50, and higher respectively.

Trading recommendations: Remain long, stop is at $15.30, a target is open.


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