Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for September 16, 2015





When the European market opens, economic news on the German 30-y Bond Auction, Final Core CPI y/y, and Final CPI y/y is due to be published. The US will release data about the TIC Long-Term Purchases, Crude Oil Inventories, NAHB Housing Market Index, Core CPI m/m, and CPI m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1324.
Strong Resistance:1.1318.
Original Resistance: 1.1307.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1296.
Target Inner Area: 1.1270.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1244.
Original Support: 1.1233.
Strong Support: 1.1223.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1216.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for September 17, 2015





Technical summary:
A correction in wave ii has taken more time than first expected, but nothing else has changed. We are still looking for a break above resistance at 1.7866 to enable a rally towards at least 1.8288 and most likely even higher to 1.8682 in wave iii. Ideally, support at 1.7702 will be able to protect the downside for a breakout above 1.7866.


Trading recommendation:
We are long EUR from 1.7490 with stop at 1.7620. If you are not long EUR yet, then buy on a break above resistance at 1.7866 with stop placed at 1.7700.


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Technical analysis of AUD/USD for September 18, 2015





Overview:
The AUD/USD pair rose from the strong level of 0.7140 and extended further to as high as 0.7172 yesterday, but it closed at the level of 0.7165 today. It should be noted that support is seen at 0.7140 because this level has also formed double bottom. Furthermore, the price set above 50% of Fibonacci retracement levels since last week. For that purpose, we expect a saturation around the level of 0.7140 or 0.7132. Hence, the market is likely to start showing the signs of a bullish bias again from this spot in order to indicate a bullish opportunity from the level of 0.7140 (50% of Fibonacci retracement levels in the H1 chart). Accordingly, buy above the level of 0.7140 with the first target at 0.7191 besides it will call for an uptrend in order to continue bullish movement towards 0.7250 in coming hours. On the other hand, if the bulls are forced to pull back below the level of 0.7125 and sellers can break this level, therefore the best solution is to set a stop loss at the 0.712.





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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for September 22, 2015





When the European market opens, economic news about the Consumer Confidence is due to be released. The US will publish economic data on the Richmond Manufacturing Index and HPI m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1240.
Strong Resistance:1.1234.
Original Resistance: 1.1223.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1212.
Target Inner Area: 1.1186.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1160.
Original Support: 1.1149.
Strong Support: 1.1138.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1132.


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for September 23, 2015


On the daily chart, GBP/USD continues to move lower across the support zone of 1.5344, where we should expect a rebound towards resistance zone of 1.5479. Currently, the bearish bias looks strong enough to reach another low below the support level of 1.5344 and pointing to the level of 1.5256. The MACD indicator is entering the neutral territory.





The intraday structure is still calling for more downside, because the cable is forming a lower low pattern below the 200 SMA on the H1 chart and the resistance level of 1.5417. A breakout below 1.5341 will push the pair to the level of 1.5285. The 200 SMA is currently moving in a bearish direction.





Daily chart's resistance levels: 1.5479 / 1.5559
Daily chart's support levels: 1.5344 / 1.5256
H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5417 / 1.5468
H1 chart's support levels: 1.5341 / 1.5285


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.5417, take profit is at 1.5468, and stop loss is at 1.5364.


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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for September 24, 2015


GBP/USD is headed lower making new downside moves below the resistance level of 1.5256. It is expected to form a lower low pattern by the end of the week. Currently, our outlook remains bearish towards the support zone of 1.5169, where a rebound should happen in order to correct the current decline.





On the H1 chart, the pair is showing a bearish consolidation in place below the 200 SMA and this indicator is also pointing to the downside. A breakout below the support level of 1.5223 will enable the pair to test the level of 1.5166 in coming hours. The MACD indicator is entering the neutral territory.





Daily chart's resistance levels: 1.5256 / 1.5344
Daily chart's support levels: 1.5169 / 1.5030
H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5285 / 1.5341
H1 chart's support levels: 1.5223 / 1.5166


Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place sell (short) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bearish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.5223, take profit is at 1.5166, and stop loss is at 1.5283.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for September 25, 2015





When the European market opens, some economic news will be released such as Private Loans y/y and M3 Money Supply y/y. The US will also release the economic reports such as the Revised UoM Inflation Expectations, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment, Flash Services PMI, Final GDP Price Index q/q, and Final GDP q/q. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1234.
Strong Resistance:1.1228.
Original Resistance: 1.1217.0
Inner Sell Area: 1.1206.
Target Inner Area: 1.1180.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1154.
Original Support: 1.1143.
Strong Support: 1.1132.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1126.


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Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for September 28, 2015





Technical summary:
We are entering the final part of the decline from 141.06. Continue to look for a decline closer to 131.45 before a new impulsive rally takes place. In thr short term, we will be looking for a breakout below minor support at 134.75 as the first good indication that the move closer to 131.45 is developing, while a break below support at 134.10 will confirm the decline. Only an unexpected breakout above resistance at 136.03 will confirm that the bottom is already in place for renewed upside pressure.


Trading recommendation: Our stop at 134.95 was hit, but we will sell EUR again upon a break below 134.75 with stop placed at 135.50 and take profit at 131.65.


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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for September 29, 2015





When the European market opens, economic news about the Italian 10-y Bond Auction, Spanish Flash CPI y/y, German Prelim CPI m/m, and German Import Prices m/m is due to be released.The US will unveil economic data on the CB Consumer Confidence, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y, and Goods Trade Balance. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility during this day.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1284.
Strong Resistance:1.1278.
Original Resistance: 1.1267.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1256.
Target Inner Area: 1.1230.
Inner Buy Area: 1.1204.
Original Support: 1.1193.
Strong Support: 1.1182.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.1176.


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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for September 30, 2015





In Asia, Japan will release the Housing Starts y/y, Prelim Industrial Production m/m, and Retail Sales y/y. The US will publish economic data on Crude Oil Inventories, Chicago PMI, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So, there is a strong probability that the USD/JPY pair will move with low volatility during the Asian session, but with medium to high volatility during the US session.


TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 120.56.
Resistance. 2: 120.33.
Resistance. 1: 120.09.
Support. 1: 119.80.
Support. 2: 119.56.
Support. 3: 119.33.


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