Thread: Iraq/Dinar News. 09/05 to 01/14/07

Originally Posted by MrsCK

This is the gentleman that I have been talking to by email - I post last night around 5pm this document and another he wrote on October 16th - I ask for folks to PM me with questions to email him back with - NO pm's this morning.

THANK YOU DayDream - I have read many of his documents and he maybe a good soucre. I will continue to visit with him by email.

Oh I didn't realize this had been posted before. When reading the forum you try to remember whats been posted and what hasn't but there is sooo much here to digest. So your in contact with this guy huh? Excellent idea about posing questions to him. Does he have any clue to what he thinks Iraq's CBI should r/v at in order to solve alot of their economic problems? I'll have to go back and search out your posts, I didn't see the October 16th document, like to read it.

Keep up the good work!

Cheers!
DayDream

Originally Posted by neno

Responses in red. Ok Great, lets move on and see. I ask all to do the same.

Sounds good. BTW I found an older article that is very long. Some might want to pick through it for any interesting information: http://www.bos.frb.org/economic/ppdp/2004/ppdp0401.pdf

Originally Posted by MunnyBaggs

So let's do the math at the last CBI rate you quote: 10,000,000 IQD x .0007087 = $7,000. Wow, $7,000 is such a huge difference from the $6,600 value published above. Are you sure the reporter used today's exact rate? Do you think maybe this interview was done awhile back at a slightly different rate?

I believe they used the 1500IQD. Please see my post from last night...

http://www.rolclub.com/iraqi-dinar-d...news-3328.html

Post #33272

It was a little long but I explained how I arrive at this conclusion. Thanks.

Cheers!
DayDream

I'm pretty new to rolclub and don't want to break any of the rules when I post. I've done a lot of lurking in the weeds, so to speak, because I am of a rather shy and retiring nature - mainly accustomed to the groves of academe. I will be glad to furnish my "creds" to any of you who might care to PM me separately...I can claim a doctorate in the hard sciences...but without any economics or political science background whatever.

For many years now I have worked with statistics and probability tables, etc. in order to discern which types of trends are important and how best to weight them - so that I could have a valid means of predicting future events. I believe I have (at least partially) succeeded.

Using the linked, discussed and agreed upon data which I have absorbed here on rolclub - although the parameters and weighting are my own and thus can be seen as MY opinion - I am willing to predict, within short ranges, the amount of the RV we all believe is coming, as well as the probable time of its occurrance.

Basically I guess I am asking whether it would violate rolclub's rules if I were to make such predictions and also whether other members would like to have me do so?

Originally Posted by stik

I'm pretty new to rolclub and don't want to break any of the rules when I post. I've done a lot of lurking in the weeds, so to speak, because I am of a rather shy and retiring nature - mainly accustomed to the groves of academe. I will be glad to furnish my "creds" to any of you who might care to PM me separately...I can claim a doctorate in the hard sciences...but without any economics or political science background whatever.

For many years now I have worked with statistics and probability tables, etc. in order to discern which types of trends are important and how best to weight them - so that I could have a valid means of predicting future events. I believe I have (at least partially) succeeded.

Using the linked, discussed and agreed upon data which I have absorbed here on rolclub - although the parameters and weighting are my own and thus can be seen as MY opinion - I am willing to predict, within short ranges, the amount of the RV we all believe is coming, as well as the probable time of its occurrance.

Basically I guess I am asking whether it would violate rolclub's rules if I were to make such predictions and also whether other members would like to have me do so?

I am very interested to see your tables and I imagine would be acceptable on the Rumour/Predictions thread. See you over there!

Originally Posted by stik

I'm pretty new to rolclub and don't want to break any of the rules when I post. I've done a lot of lurking in the weeds, so to speak, because I am of a rather shy and retiring nature - mainly accustomed to the groves of academe. I will be glad to furnish my "creds" to any of you who might care to PM me separately...I can claim a doctorate in the hard sciences...but without any economics or political science background whatever.

For many years now I have worked with statistics and probability tables, etc. in order to discern which types of trends are important and how best to weight them - so that I could have a valid means of predicting future events. I believe I have (at least partially) succeeded.

Using the linked, discussed and agreed upon data which I have absorbed here on rolclub - although the parameters and weighting are my own and thus can be seen as MY opinion - I am willing to predict, within short ranges, the amount of the RV we all believe is coming, as well as the probable time of its occurrance.

Basically I guess I am asking whether it would violate rolclub's rules if I were to make such predictions and also whether other members would like to have me do so?

Awsome for you to request this, as you did. You my do as you wish, with this, in the Rumor/Prediction thread. If you visit the first post of this Thread, you will be guided to that part of the Forum.

Yes, it's still morning where I am....LOL.

Neno (and the rest of you I'm sure) has been patiently waiting for my responses to the e-mail(s) I sent out late Thursday and early Friday morning.

To those of you who missed it- When Mike posted the 10,000/.66 article, I was as excited as the rest of you. I, however, don't buy into hyped articles that much, so I did a LOT of homework on this article. First I wanted to know how credible the Azzaman news agency was. I found out quickly they were a London Based publisher with daily printing in Iraq (Baghdad and another city). Their circulation is somewhere between 30,000 and 100,000 (couldn't find actual current circulation figures). The website is primarily Arabic, with a few articles posted in English. I first tried contacting the reporter who wrote the article to get a clarification "from the horses mouth". So many of us look for other ways to prove things right or wrong, but why not take the direct approach? So, without any contact links on the English pages (or the Arabic pages- I hovered over every link looking at the bottom of my browser to see where is was going to go looking for a "mail to:" link) I used logic to come up with an e-mail address to the reporter. All variations I could think of were sent back to me. I tried sending the same e-mail to [email protected] but also a dead-end.

So I finally reached two contacts, one listed in the who-is information of Azzaman.com and the other is an Arabic reporter totally unrelated to Azzaman, but who referenced the Azzaman reporter in one of his articles. I assume they know each other and requested contact information from the second Arabic reporter.

Since it is their weekend and my e-mails went out late, I haven't heard anything as of yet.

I have the phone number to the publisher, but have not made the international call as of yet. Adster posted he did so, but I am disappointed he did not try harder to get the reporter's contact information before hanging up the phone. If I had someone on the line at the publisher's office, I would have persisted until I had a way to "hear it from the horse's mouth". Adster did however say the lady on the phone stated "all of our articles are checked for accuracy before going to print". So he took that as an acknowledgement of the accuracy of the 10,000/.66 statement.

Personally with me the jury is still out. It is easy to dismiss the 10,000/.66 as an error. But NOBODY has OFFICIALLY dis-proven it yet either.

So, by the time I hear anything back, we will see first hand if the CBI changes things on Sunday or not.

It is easy to sit back in your chair and read things posted here and add your take on the matter, but to get involved and REALLY DIG until you find information is another. I invite everyone to take the time to e-mail people in other countries to get information. Pick up the phone and call! If you're in the UK, it's virtually a local call to this publisher (or any other potential news source) and they should be professional enough to answer your questions.

I appreciate Munny's posts, WM Knowle's posts and everyone in between. If you haven't stepped up to DIG IN and get info, then you are along for the ride. And you can, of course add your two cents worth at any time.

Man I love this forum!

Thank you

Originally Posted by MunnyBaggs

Pippy, that mystery has been solved. Not sure if this has been posted here or not but:

How the sentence in the article was written:

Each family will be given a loan of 10,000 dinars (approx. $6,600) to start the project, he said.

Should have been written:

Each family will be given a loan of 10,000,000 dinars (approx. $6,600) to start the project, he said.

Looks like the reporter, or transcriber, or editor left off three zeros. 10 million IQD at todays .00066 rate = around $6,600. Mystery solved. Why would some Joe Palooka reporter have any more inside information than anyone else? First instinct was right, this was a misprint.

We don't have an exact translation and if you will go to google translate and look at the Arabic spellings of thousand and million, you may find that the article does appear to say thousand. The information about the article saying million was from "Miss. You-Know-Who",(Adsters best friend over there). And she didn't even post it originally, but sent it to someone else in an apparent attempt to get under his skin. The article may say million instead of thousand but I will only believe it once we have a trustworthy translation.

Originally Posted by stik

I'm pretty new to rolclub and don't want to break any of the rules when I post. I've done a lot of lurking in the weeds, so to speak, because I am of a rather shy and retiring nature - mainly accustomed to the groves of academe. I will be glad to furnish my "creds" to any of you who might care to PM me separately...I can claim a doctorate in the hard sciences...but without any economics or political science background whatever.

For many years now I have worked with statistics and probability tables, etc. in order to discern which types of trends are important and how best to weight them - so that I could have a valid means of predicting future events. I believe I have (at least partially) succeeded.

Using the linked, discussed and agreed upon data which I have absorbed here on rolclub - although the parameters and weighting are my own and thus can be seen as MY opinion - I am willing to predict, within short ranges, the amount of the RV we all believe is coming, as well as the probable time of its occurrance.

Basically I guess I am asking whether it would violate rolclub's rules if I were to make such predictions and also whether other members would like to have me do so?

I also would like to post your research. Your opinions are also welcome. It would be interesting to have someone with your background to continue to post your impressions of what we have/will continue to see. Thank You.

Now this is what the "Think Tank" is for. Great observation Hardwood & lndmn_01. This is presicely the point of this.

Also stik, if you are having trouble with the Guide to the Rumor/Prediction form please PM me. Great work all you guys. Including MunnyBaggs. There is room for all the theroy's until one is right. Then again, who knows they may all play into it.