HYIP.RFJuSt.com - рейтинг и мониторинг инвестиций на ру

[MDunleavy]

Я думаю, что доллар пока недостаточно вырос против ены и должен быть ещё один мощный импульс вверх. А вот будет ли ена усиливаться и повторять рост в район 85,0 это вопрос. Многие аналитики пишут, что в дальнейшем будет только рост доллара против ены и повтрного тестирования 85,0 не будет....

The short term picture remains positive as the pair continues its strong upward movement. So far the rise is limited by the resistance at 94.70, which is 38.2% FIbo retracement of the 110.64-84.71 drop, and if broken successfully next targets will be the resistances at 96.80 and 97.70, which is 50.0% Fibo retracement of the mentioned drop. On the downside, support is seen at 93.80, followed by 91.80 and 90.20.

"P&F USD
JPY1440 Box Size 130X4 or(4.94%) HI/LO
Data 125.75 - 84.819 ~ 92 Month ~ 2800 Day
Database 2000 records 94.031 (Last Close)
2002-08-06 00~00
2010-04-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"

126.1|~13O||_________________________________|-0.28%|48.67%
124.8|~26O||XoX______________________________|0.76 %|47.14%
123.5|~39O||XoXo________X____________________|1.79 %|45.6%
122.2|~52O||XoXo________Xo___________________|2.82 %|44.07%
120.9|~65O||XoXo____X_X_Xo___________________|3.86 %|42.54%
119.6|~78O||Xo_o____XoXoXo___________________|4.89 %|41.01%
118.3|~91O||X__o____XoXoXo___________________|5.92 %|39.47%
117.0|~1O4O|___o____XoXoXoX__________________|6.96 %|37.94%
115.7|~117O|___o____XoXo_oXo_________________|7.99 %|36.41%
114.4|~13OO|___o__X_XoX__oXoX________________|9.03 %|34.88%
113.1|~143O|___o__XoXoX__oXoXo_______________|10.0 6%|33.34%
111.8|~156O|___oX_XoXoX__o_oXo_______________|11.0 9%|31.81%
110.5|~169O|___oXoXoXoX____oXoX______________|12.1 3%|30.28%
109.2|~182O|___oXoXoXo_____oXoXo_____________|13.1 6%|28.74%
107.9|~195O|___oXoXoX______o_oXo_____________|14.1 9%|27.21%
106.6|~2O8O|___oXoXoX________oXo_____________|15.2 3%|25.68%
105.3|~221O|___o_oXoX________oXo_____________|16.2 6%|24.15%
104.0|~234O|_____o_oX________oXo_____________|17.3 %|22.61%
102.7|~247O|_______o_________oXo_____________|18.3 3%|21.08%
101.4|~26OO|=================oXo======X======|19.3 6%|19.55%
100.1|~273O|_________________oXoX_____Xo_____|20.4 %|18.02%
98.80|~286O|_________________oXoXo__X_Xo_____|21.4 3%|16.48%
97.50|~299O|_________________oXoXo__XoXoX____|22.4 7%|14.95%
96.20|~312O|_________________o_oXo__XoXoXo___|23.5 %|13.42%
94.90|~325O|___________________oXo__XoXoXo___|24.5 3%|11.89%
93.60|~338O|===================oXoX=Xo=oXoX=X|25.5 7%|10.35%
92.30|~351O|___________________oXoXoX__o_oXoX|26.6 %|8.82%
91.00|~364O|___________________o_oXoX____oXoX|27.6 3%|7.29%
89.70|~377O|_____________________oXoX____oXoX|28.6 7%|5.75%
88.40|~39OO|_____________________o_o_____oXo_|29.7 %|4.22%
87.10|~4O3O|_____________________________oX__|30.7 4%|2.69%
85.80|~416O|=============================o===|31.7 7%|1.16%
84.50|~429O|_________________________________|32.8 %|-0.38%
Column||||||654156891994694751117944846749644|
Count|||||||___5____4________415_____________|




BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Думаю пора австралийскому доллару и вниз. Получился расширяющийся, а следовательно практически непрогнозируемый треугольник...Но мне представляется, что для серьёзных намерений выхода на паритет 1USD=1AUD нужно ещё раз отступить...

AUDUSD Outlook

The AUDUSD made a significant bullish momentum, break above the broadening formation, confirms the bullish continuation scenario after RBA raised the rate at 4.25% as expected. The bias is bullish in nearest term targeting 0.9326 - 0.9404 area. Immediate support at 0.9250. Break below that area could trigger further bearish correction testing the upper line of the broadening formation. A movement back inside the formation should lead us into no trading zone as direction would become unclear.

"P&F AUDUSD1440 Box Size 150X3 or(5.98%) HI/LO
Data 0.9784 - 0.5276 ~ 93 Month ~ 2812 Day
Database 2000 records 0.92673 (Last Close)
2002-07-26 00~00
2010-04-07 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"

0.9900|~15O||___________________________________|-1.19%|87.64%
0.9750|~3OO||____________X______________________|0 .35%|84.8%
0.9600|~45O||____________Xo_____________________|1 .88%|81.96%
0.9450|~6OO||__________X_Xo_____________________|3 .41%|79.11%
0.9300|~75O||________X_XoXo________________X_X__|4 .95%|76.27%
0.9150|~9OO||________XoXoXo________________XoXoX|6 .48%|73.43%
0.9000|~1O5O|________XoXo_o________________XoXoX|8 .01%|70.58%
0.8850|~12OO|______X_XoX__o________________Xo_oX|9 .55%|67.74%
0.8700|~135O|______XoXoX__o________________X__o_|1 1.08%|64.9%
0.8550|~15OO|______XoXo___o________________X____|1 2.61%|62.05%
0.8400|~165O|______XoX____oX_______________X____|1 4.15%|59.21%
0.8250|~18OO|______XoX____oXo____________X_X____|1 5.68%|56.37%
0.8100|~195O|______XoX____oXo____________XoX____|1 7.21%|53.53%
0.7950|~21OO|X___X_XoX____o_o____________XoX____|1 8.74%|50.68%
0.7800|~225O|Xo__XoXo_______o____________Xo_____|2 0.28%|47.84%
0.7650|~24OO|Xo__XoX________o____________X______|2 1.81%|45%
0.7500|~255O|Xo__XoX________o____________X______|2 3.34%|42.15%
0.7350|~27OO|XoX_XoX________o____________X______|2 4.88%|39.31%
0.7200|~285O|XoXoXoX________o__X_____X___X______|2 6.41%|36.47%
0.7050|~3OOO|XoXoXo_________oX_XoX___Xo__X______|2 7.94%|33.62%
0.6900|~315O|Xo_o___________oXoXoXoX_Xo__X______|2 9.48%|30.78%
0.6750|~33OO|X______________oXoXoXoXoXoX_X______|3 1.01%|27.94%
0.6600|~345O|X______________oXoXo_oXoXoXoX______|3 2.54%|25.09%
0.6450|~36OO|X______________o_o___oXoXoXoX______|3 4.08%|22.25%
0.6300|~375O|X____________________oXoXo_o_______|3 5.61%|19.41%
0.6150|~39OO|X____________________o_o___________|3 7.14%|16.57%
0.6000|~4O5O|X__________________________________|3 8.68%|13.72%
0.5850|~42OO|X__________________________________|4 0.21%|10.88%
0.5700|~435O|X__________________________________|4 1.74%|8.04%
0.5550|~45OO|X__________________________________|4 3.27%|5.19%
0.5400|~465O|X__________________________________|4 4.81%|2.35%
0.5250|~48OO|___________________________________|4 6.34%|-0.49%
Column|~495O|17337617156351314454365576331313343|
Count|~51OO||8_____2_O____2_3____________3_O____|




BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

On the daily chart, although the New Zealand dollar retreated from 0.7180 to 0.6964, as price has rebounded from there, suggesting as long as this support holds, consolidation with mild upside bias remains and break of said resistance would bring stronger rebound to indicated upside target at 0.7221 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.7635 to 0.6807) and possibly towards 0.7319 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) but reckon key resistance at 0.7445 would continue to hold.

"P&F NZDUSD1440 Box Size 1250X3 or(5.91%) HI/LO
Data 0.8214 - 0.4485 ~ 93 Month ~ 2809 Day
Database 2000 records 0.70291 (Last Close)
2002-07-30 00~00
2010-04-08 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"

0.8125|~125||___________________X_________________ __|1.08%|81.16%
0.8000|~25O||_________Xo________Xo________________ __|2.61%|78.37%
0.7875|~375||_________Xo____X_X_Xo________________ __|4.13%|75.59%
0.7750|~5OO||_________Xo__X_XoXoXo________________ __|5.65%|72.8%
0.7625|~625||_________Xo__XoXoXoXo____________X___ __|7.17%|70.01%
0.7500|~75O||_________Xo__XoXo_o_o____________XoX_ __|8.69%|67.22%
0.7375|~875||___X_____Xo__Xo_____o____________XoXo X_|10.21%|64.44%
0.7250|~1OOO|___Xo____XoX_X______o____________XoXo Xo|11.74%|61.65%
0.7125|~1125|___XoX___XoXoX______o____________Xo_o Xo|13.26%|58.86%
0.7000|~125O|_X_XoXo__XoXoX______o____________X__o _o|14.78%|56.08%
0.6875|~1375|_XoXoXo__XoXo_______oX___________X___ _o|16.3%|53.29%
0.6750|~15OO|_XoXo_o__Xo_________oXo__________X___ __|17.82%|50.5%
0.6625|~1625|_XoX__o__X__________oXo__________X___ __|19.35%|47.71%
0.6500|~175O|_XoX__o__X__________o_o__________X___ __|20.87%|44.93%
0.6375|~1875|_XoX__oX_X____________o__________X___ __|22.39%|42.14%
0.6250|~2OOO|_XoX__oXoX____________oX_________X___ __|23.91%|39.35%
0.6125|~2125|_XoX__oXoX____________oXoX_______X___ __|25.43%|36.57%
0.6000|~225O|_Xo___o_o_____________oXoXoX_____X___ __|26.95%|33.78%
0.5875|~2375|_X____________________o_oXoXo__X_X___ __|28.48%|30.99%
0.5750|~25OO|_X______________________oXoXo__XoX___ __|30%|28.21%
0.5625|~2625|_X______________________oXoXo__XoX___ __|31.52%|25.42%
0.5500|~275O|_X______________________oXoXo__Xo____ __|33.04%|22.63%
0.5375|~2875|_X______________________o_oXoX_X_____ __|34.56%|19.84%
0.5250|~3OOO|_X________________________o_oXoX_____ __|36.08%|17.06%
0.5125|~3125|_X__________________________oXoX_____ __|37.61%|14.27%
0.5000|~325O|_X__________________________o_o______ __|39.13%|11.48%
0.4875|~3375|_X___________________________________ __|40.65%|8.7%
0.4750|~35OO|_X___________________________________ __|42.17%|5.91%
0.4625|~3625|oX___________________________________ __|43.69%|3.12%
0.4500|~375O|o____________________________________ __|45.22%|0.33%
Column|||||||2281539331143734333513837676833731434 34|
Count||||||||_O_1_____61_________3____________7___ __|



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Отношение американского доллара к швейцарскому франку как бы отражает положение доллара вообще. Некий индикаторный график. Так вот доллар уже длительное время не может вырасти, однако надежда ещё есть.

Strategy : Stand aside.
Despite intra-day brief bounce to 1.0763, as dollar quickly retreated from there on the back of euro’s strength, suggesting downside risk remains for retracement of recent rise from 1.0435 and current breach of the Kijun-Sen also adds credence to this view, then weakness to 1.0652 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0435 to 1.0786) and possibly towards 1.0611 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0435 to 1.0786) would be seen, however, reckon support at 1.0576-84 would limit downside today.
Only above said intra-day resistance at 1.0763 would revive our bullishness for test of 1.0786, then 1.0810, break of latter level would signal upmove from 0.9910 has resumed for retest of 1.0899 top next week.


"P&F USDCHF1440 Box Size 175X3 or(4.21%) HI/LO
Data 1.5311 - 0.9634 ~ 92 Month ~ 2800 Day
Database 2000 records 1.06561 (Last Close)
2002-08-09 00~00
2010-04-09 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Очень интересная ситуация по канадскому доллару....Так сказать что дороже сырьё или "несырьё" :-) Может скоро будут играть первую скрипку вообще те страны, которые продукты производят?
Нефть тоже продукт, без нефти пшеницу не получить, трактор пока не научился работать без солярки :-)

The underlying MT direction is bearish while the daily bias is bearish. Therefore the main risk is lower. Ensure that key resistances levels hold. Note key support levels that would suggest continuation of the bearish move. Consider confirming this with a bearish set up pattern in price or important that you consider either bullish or bearish set up patterns in indicators or lower time frame charts to support S&R breaks.
Очень интересная ситуация по канадскому доллару....

"P&F USDCAD15 Box Size 10X4 or(0.39%) HI/LO
Data 1.0302 - 0.9977 ~ 1 Month ~ 29.05 Day
Database 2000 records 0.99813 (Last Close)
2010-03-16 08~45
2010-04-14 10~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Доллар предпринял некоторые попытки восстановления, скорее это можно считать стабилизацией...Не высказываются пока на "высоком аналитическом уровне" предположения о скром росте доллара, хотя я решил предположить, что рост возможен, подробности на графике.

Commodity were hit hard with crude oil down to close at 83.24 while gold closed at 1136.9. Dollar managed to recover earlier losses against major currencies. While the sharp reversal in dollar pairs and yen crosses worth mentioning, it must be noted that the moves were not enough to confirm reversal in recent decline in the neither currencies yet. For example, the dollar index, which closed the week at 80.77, is still way off recent high of 82.24. Follow through selling in stocks and commodities is needed to push dollar and yen through near term resistance to confirm reversal.

"P&F _DY1440 Box Size1 30X2 or(2.89%) HI/LO
Data 109.24 - 70.7 ~ 93 Month ~ 2832 Day
Database 2000 records 80.77 (Last Close)
2002-07-15 00~00
2010-04-16 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Кросс GbpCad на протяжении длительного времени снижался и по всей видимости достиг дна. Сейчас возможно восстановление. Подробности на графике.

GbpCad Review and Outlook
=========================
GbpCad=GbpUsdXUsdCad
GBP/USD closed higher due to short covering on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If it extends last week's decline, March's high crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm a short-term low has been posted.
Long term bias for the USD/CAD bearish, the weekly close below 1,0250 signals further declines. Forming a base around parity.

"P&F GBPCAD1440 Box Size 300X3 or(4.65%) HI/LO
Data 2.3563 - 1.5115 ~ 58 Month ~ 1762 Day
Database 1303 records 1.5535 (Last Close)
2005-06-23 00~00
2010-04-20 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Всё же больше склоняюсь к мысли, что нефть подешевеет , должно быть сезонное колебание, потом истечение контрактов играет роль, потом уж больно долго длится восходящее движени....

Crude Oil Falls As Inventories Are Seen High And Plenty Of Supply
Analysis - Commodity Market Commentaries
Written by Finotec | Tue Apr 20 10 01:13 ET

OPEC violating production quotas at the same time as demand from industrialized nations stagnates is spurring bets in the oil market that the 13-month rally in crude is coming to an end. It's a bubble and we don't know when it's going to go bust, but it's just a question of time,' said Eugen Weinberg, a senior analyst with Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. 'So enjoy the party but stay close to the door.' U.S. demand will drop 9.4 percent to average 18.84 million barrels a day this year, from a record 20.8 million in 2005, the Energy Department said on April 6. The U.S. uses more than twice as much crude as China, the second-biggest consumer. India is fourth. Crude oil is trading at $83.40 as of 21:25pm, London-Time, with a bearish trend. Crude's Pool-Position is 33% Long, meaning that most Finotec clients are selling the commodity.

"P&F O I L (brent) Box Size4X3 or(13.77%) CLOSE
Data 147.53 - 26.7 ~ 80 Month ~ 2450 Day
Database 1676 records 85.25 (Last Close)
2003-08-04 00~00
2010-04-19 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Предположительно падение евро ещё не достигло дна. Предполагаю, что ещё одна волна снижения в район 1,3140 может быть.

What's In Store for the EUR and the USD Next Week?
At the end of a volatile trading week which has seen a turmoil in Greek bonds and has culminated with a formal request from Greece for financial aid from the EU and IMF, I explore the important economic events for the week ahead and ponder what they may bring for the EUR and the USD, I examine this morning's EUR strengthening and analyze the latest trend developments with the EUR/USD, EUR/JPY and EUR/GBP currency pairs, I note the bullish breakout of the USD vs. JPY, I examine the weakness of the GBP and CAD after series of disappointing economic reports from the U.K. and Canada.
This is my forecast!

"P&F EURUSD1440 Box Size 200X3 or(4.68%) HI/LO
Data 1.6038 - 0.9607 ~ 92 Month ~ 2796 Day
Database 2000 records 1.33811 (Last Close)
2002-08-27 00~00
2010-04-23 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart

[MDunleavy]

Опираясь на фундаментальные данные очень привлекательной для торговли может быть пара EUR\CHF.
Кроме того в этой паре редко бывают "непредвиденные" сильные движения. Но с другой стороны волатильность не сравнима скажем с парой EUR\JPY , значительно ниже. По данной паре наряду с парой AUD\NZD есть бесплатные эксперты и советники. Есть один мощный платный советник и автоматическая торговая система, целый сайт ей посвящён с форумом и так далее...Легко найти при желании.
Среднесуточное колебание H\L по паре евро\франк около 80-82 пункта если взять первые 1000-1100 дневных свечей и вычислить среднее значение.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook
Despite dipping to 1.4294 briefly, there was no follow through selling and EUR/CHF recovered back into familiar range. Outlook is turned neutral again and more choppy sideway trading might be seen. On the downside, break of 1.4294 will argue that rebound from 1.4143 is completed at 1.4465 already and turn bias to the downside for this support first. On the upside, above 1.4386 will suggest that stronger recovery might be seen. But after all, we'd continue to expect strong resistance near to 1.4557 support turned resistance to limit upside and bring fall resumption sooner or later.

"P&F EURCHF1440 Box Size 100X3 or(1.94%) HI/LO
Data 1.6827 - 1.4144 ~ 92 Month ~ 2811 Day
Database 2000 records 1.43556 (Last Close)
2002-08-16 00~00
2010-04-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"



BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart