I think the dinar will reval on a steady as you go. Once the speculators see a trend they will start to jump in and we should see an acceleration in the value until it is temporarily over sold then once that is absorbed it should start to move again.
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16-11-2006, 11:52 PM #24501
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16-11-2006, 11:52 PM #24502
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This is an older article but does discuss that a revalue is a monetary policy.
This is Kuwait though.
Kuwait revalued its dinar for the first time in 17 months on May 11, sparking a currency rally across the oil exporting Gulf region.
Integration
Nasser Al-Kaud, director of finance and monetary integration at the GCC Secretariat said earlier this month Gulf Arab states should not revalue their dollar-pegged currencies before a planned monetary union is formed.Al-Mannae said Kuwait has not violated any rule and he central bank is committed to ease inflationary pressures, although it would be impossible to eliminate them.
“I don’t think we have violated any commitment. Inflation is a very important parameter for us. We are very committed. We will use any available monetary policy instruments to tackle inflation.” he said.
“With Kuwait being a small and open economy, relying heavily on imported goods and sectors, we are definitely influenced by what’s going on the inflation front in the trading partners. You can reduce (inflationary pressure) somehow but you cannot eliminate it.”
Forex Trading Signal » 2006 » June
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16-11-2006, 11:56 PM #24503
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They need more dinars to cover the debit card handout.
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17-11-2006, 12:06 AM #24504
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17-11-2006, 12:08 AM #24505
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17-11-2006, 12:08 AM #24506
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I understand your point but whatever they are doing it always is gonna cost more than they want.
In my opion they want to decrease inflation, pull out dinars and improve purchasing power. This always result in a exchange rate that improves, we have seen that last week.
They better want to buy at 1470 then 1455. They better want to buy 0.05 then 0.31, they better want it at 0.60 then 1.50.
We are only now talking about the money in circulation etc. That's one point of view.
If we talk about these low amounts of 0.05 I cannot imagine that the donor countries will write the debt off. We are talking about billions and billions of debt. These countries are holding a lot of dinars and with a rate of 0.05 they will not be happy.
In my point of view this whole investment can be worthless if donor countries won't help Iraq. Then Iraq is left with a debt of billions of dollars.
Iraq has the debt, the violence, the poor and go on. Iraq is the country that MUST PROVE themselfs to the world and that they deserve the aid and not the other way around. We read earlier that for this aid economic reforms must be made.
Again, this is a point of view only made from the financial and banking side and I believe that there is many more in this game that sets the real exchange rate of the Iraqi Dinar.
I also think that they will set the exchange rate lower than the real exchange rate at that time to shake out a lot of speculators.
Again, just an opinion! Time will tell!
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17-11-2006, 12:14 AM #24507
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Definitely a low reval!
The theory is... in fact the common practice of bankers is to buy currency dirt cheap! That means that our days of considering high amounts for a reval are over! We've come of age - we've suddenly grown up! Banks are not nice! The knowledge we now possess which we didn't have before, has certainly taken the wind out of some of us. Mr. Knowles certainly knows his stuff. His comments are irrefutable!
Personally, I still remain highly optimistic!
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17-11-2006, 12:27 AM #24508
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17-11-2006, 12:35 AM #24509
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I think WM and you are right. But......
the way to deal with this situation will be to hold your dinar. At some point, either by allowing the market set the value of the dinar or if the CBI controls it by pegging, the dinar will have to increase in value. As oil production increases and the economy grows and demand for the dinar also grows the CBI will have to repeg. One thing that has to happen is that the realistic worth of the dinar has to be realized and that will be demanded by the international market. Look at the heat China has taken for keeping their currency artificially low. This will take time, no doubt about it. But by holding you will out wait the CBI. You will only lose if you cash in early. JMHO
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17-11-2006, 12:39 AM #24510
I don´t know if this has already been posted but I just
received this about 5 mins ago, any comments ?
To all our FreeDinar Customers,
There once again will not be a conference call this evening. We apologize for any inconvenience.
However, we will be sending out an email in a few hours with some of the latest news. Just a preview, the Central Bank of Iraq has issued a statement regarding increasing the value of the Dinar.
Depending on the circumstances we should have a conference call next week.
Thank you,
FreeDinar/Ompus Corporate Team
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