Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for June 26, 2014



Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. The EUR/JPY is stalling around 139.00 levels at the moment, which is also fibonacci 0.50 resistance as seen here. A push above 139.00 here, would test the 139.30/40 levels which is fibonacci 0.618 resistance and trend line confluence.
2. Support is around 137.70/75, followed by 136.50, 134.00 and lower, while resistance is at 139.30/40, followed by 140.00, 141.00 and higher up respectively.
3. The structure indicates that EUR/JPY should be in control of bears until prices remain below 140.00.


Trading recommendations:
Remain flat for now. Look to sell the rally around 139.20/30.


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Short-term forecast for EUR/JPY for June 27, 2014



The pair has been in a down trend from 145.68 levels. The pair has broken the 16-month support trend line and is trading near 50-week Sma at 137.45 levels. It is trading in a very crucial support zone between 137.45-136.20. If the pair hits the 50-week Sma on a closing basis, we can see the extension of the bearish leg towards the initial target at 134.40-134.10 and later 131 .20 levels. On the upside, we have resistance at 138.90, 140.06 and 142 levels. The pair favors selling on the rallies until it crosses above the 143.78 levels. We can see a huge downfall if the pair breaches 136.21 for 131 and 129 levels.


KEY SUPPORT LEVEL 136.20 FOR THE SHORT TERM

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Weekly forecast of USD/CHF for June 30-July 04, 2014






The pair has been in a downtrend from 0.9037 levels. It is trading at 0.8909 levels near to its crucial support levels 0.89 (50 days Sma). If the pair breaks the 50 days Sma levels, we can expect selling up to 0.8883, 0.8830, and 0.8770 levels. The momentum oscillators favors to sell in multiple time frames. Today's closing is very crucial for bulls hold above 0.89 levels on closing basis. The pair opened its session in a bearish note opened higher at 0.8913. Until the pair breaches this higher level, we recommend trades not to opt for longs. If the pair manages to breach the resistance level at 0.8913, we can see some up move up to 0.8938 and 0.8954 levels.


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Daily analysis of Silver for July 01, 2014




Overview
Based on the H4 chart above, silver is still stabilizing between the Support of 20.90 and the Resistance level of 21.20 after its failure to break the Resistance level last week. If silver continues its bearish move and manages to break the Support level of 20.90 which is being tested now, it would provide a strong indicator for the downward move and open the way towards the Support level of 20.50 as a kickoff. In this case we should wait for the breakout of this level to continue the bearish move. On the other hand, the breakout of this Resistance level will denote a bullish strength providing new buy signals from this level till reaching the Resistance level of 21.50 then 21.75.


Resistance and support levels: R3 (21.75), R2 (21.50), R1 (21.20), S1 (20.90), S2 (20.50), S1(20.20).




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Technical analysis of Silver for July 02, 2014




Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. Silver is seen to be topping out around the $21.20 handle at the moment. A dip is expected through the $19.50-$20.00 levels at least, if not lower (potential low cannot be ruled out though). Remain short, risk remains around $21.50/60. 2. Support is seen at $19.50, followed by $19.00, $18.60 and lower while resistance is seen at $21.70, followed by $22.30 and higher up. 3. The structure indicates that Silver may at least retrace/correct itself towards $19.50 levels. The resistance turned support line is also seen to be passing there.


Trading recommendations:
Remain short, stop at $21.50, target is open.

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Daily analysis of Silver for July 03, 2014






Overview
According to our yesterday's expections, the prices close below the Resistance level of 21.20 would give new opportunities for sell signals. As shown in the H4 chart, the metal has failed to break the Resistance level of 21.20 and bounced from it. Currently, the metal is trying to break the Support level of 20.90 and is approachig it to continue its bearish move. On the other hand, the metal's rebound from the Support level of 20.90 cancels the bearish scenario.



Resistance and support levels:
R3 (21.75), R2 (21.50), R1 (21.20), S1 (20.90), S2 (20.50), S1(20.20).

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Technical analysis of Gold for July 07, 2014



Technical outlook and chart setups:
1. Gold is finally seen to be reversing after printing highs at $1,330.00 levels last week. The downfall should accelerate towards at least $1,290.00/80.00 levels if not lower. Recommendations are to remain short for now.
2. Support is seen at $1,280.00, followed by $1,260.00, $1,240.00, $1,230.00 and lower while resistance is seen at $1,350.00/60.00, followed by $1,388.00 and higher respectively.
3. The structure indicates that Gold is headed lower for now before reversing. Trading recommendations: Remain short, stop at $1,340.00, target is open.

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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for July 08, 2014




In Asia, Japan will release the Current Account, Bank Lending y/y, Economy Watchers Sentiment. The US will release some economic data such as NFIB Small Business Index, JOLTS Job Openings. So there is a big probability the USD/JPY pair will move with low volatility during the day.


TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 102.29.
Resistance. 2: 102.09.
Resistance. 1: 101.89.
Support. 1: 101.64.
Support. 2: 101.44.
Support. 3: 101.24.


DESCRIPTION:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (101.24) and resistance 3 (102.29). Normally, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by 10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign that these currencies have found trends today.



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Daily analysis of GBP/JPY for July 08, 2014






In H4 chart, the price closed below the support level of 174.75 which gave a new opportunity for more bearish signals today. As shown, the price has already broken the Support area and now is approaching the support level of 173.50. Closing below this level again may give us more sell signals till the price tests the support level of 172.75. So, we can consider our first target a few pips above this support level, then 172.30 as the second level. But first, we should wait for breaking the Support level of 173.50 and closing 4H below it, before making a decision. But the price's closing above the support level cancels the bearish scenario.


Resistance and support levels:
R3 (175.30), R2 (174.75), R1 (174.00), S1 (173.50), S2 (172.75), S3 (172.30).

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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for July 9, 2014



Trading recommendations:
According to the previous events, the price of the EUR/USD pair is still between the levels of 1.3585 and 1.3625. Moreover, it should be noted that the market was quite stable and the downward trend was also obvious. Futhermore, likewise, the range was around 130 pips last week. Additionally, the value of 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels is 1.3629 for that the key level of 1.3626, is available for a downtrend to confirm the bearsh market. Therefore, sell deals are recommended below the 1.3626 level with targets at 1.3585 (the double bottom) as it will resume towards 1.3552 in order to test weekly support 1. It should be noted the descending movement will probably be lower than 1.3511 level (it will form a new double bottom). Please check out the market volatility before investing, because the sight price may have already been reached and the scenarios would become invalidate.



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