Thread: Adamant Finance - Daily Analysis

Technical Outlook November 24, 2016




EUR/USD





Yesterday’s US Durable Goods Orders data was much more better than expected and this statistics surprised market participants. Final figures established a yearly record growth. USD gained some additional support and was able to make another upside jump as investors are sure that FOMC is going to hike Interest Rates on the next meeting which is to take place on December 2016. The price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel and the risks are high at the moment. We advise to take no decisions.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was trading with a downside bias and we expect it to continue the previously established tendency.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid opening positions today as the situation is not suitable for trading.



GBP/USD





The currency pair established its pivot point at 1,23600. We had an opportunity to make a trendline and we think it is going to be broken through today. There is no much to go to reach the upper trendline and we think that it is a good idea to search for short trades from the MA55 balance line today.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no growth towards 1,28000 and the currency pair slides down step-by-step. GBP/USD’s decline accelerated by the end of the last week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses above the upper trendline.



AUD/USD





The currency pair failed to reach 0,74500 target. We think that it is better to leave he idea of opening long trades as the price broke through the trendline and it is fluctuating below the MA55 balance line at the moment. There was a chance to open short trades today in the morning. However, the downtrend is still unstable and we think that it is better to do nothing.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair still targets 0,71800 level.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions today.



USD/CHF





The currency pair get some support yesterday as the US Durable Goods Orders data was better than expected. However, there was no point to open trades and we had no opportunity to buy. It is better to wait until the price is back to the Ma55 balance line in order to open long trades.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair crossed 1,00000 last week and is trading above at the moment. It is to mention, that there was almost no resistance at this level. The currency pair is able to continue its growth towards 1,0260.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 24, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold developed its downside tendency and is trading below the MA55 balance line at the moment. The trendline was broken through and the trend has changed on the better than expected US Durable Goods Orders data. Interest Rates hike odds increased again. It is risky to open trades as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA5 balance line. There was no correction towards 1250-65,00. However, the price was unable to develop its downside tendency. Gold slows down its downtrend and we do not advise to sell it at the moment.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today as the situation is unclear.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





There was an opportunity top open long trades from the 16,55-16,58 area. However, stop losses triggered. The price was in a profit area but for a while. If you had an opportunity to protect your trades you could earn nothing but have no losses. It is risky to open trades today as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no upside correction in the beginning of the week. We expect the volatility to decrease in the nearest future.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is unclear.

Technical Outlook November 25, 2016




EUR/USD





The currency pair went back to the balance line offering opportunities to open safe trades. We expect some volatility growth as US players are back after yesterday’s holidays. We think that this growth of volatility is going to offer some good opportunities to take profit. There is some important US data today. However, we advise to establish close targets as it is Friday and market participants are cautious.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the Ma55 balance line. The currency pair was trading in the expected downside direction. We think that this dynamics may continue in the nearest future.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the Ma55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses above the trend line on the Hourly chart.



GBP/USD





The currency pair jumped off the MA5 balance line and went about 300 pips after. It was enough to protect your trades. There was an opportunity to end with trade at breakeven level. The currency pair continues its upside dynamics within a correction and the upper trendline was broken through. We expected GBP/USD to go downwards. Today there is important UK GDP Second estimate data. We advise to pay attention to it.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair was unable to grow towards 1,28000 and GBP was sliding down step-by-step. However, we see a correction at the moment.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading as there is no clear trend at the moment.



AUD/USD





The currency pair is in correction at the moment. The upper trendline was broken through and we think that the upside correction has some space to develop. However, this upside tendency is still too weak and there is a high probability of a reverse. We give no recommendations for today.

There is the upper trend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair still targets 0,71800 level.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today as the situation is still unclear.



USD/CHF





The currency pair went back to the balance line offering opportunities to open long trades in a very safe mode. There was a holiday yesterday and the market was in a correction . We expect the currency pair to have higher volatility today. However, we advise to establish close targets as it is Friday.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55 balance line. The currency pair is trading higher than 1,00000. There was low resistance at this level. The currency pair is able to resume its uptrend targeting 1,0260 this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the trendline on the Hourly chart.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 25, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





We thought that Gold is able to go back towards the balance line. However, XAU/USD resumed its downside tendency today in the morning. USD continues to get support from Interest Rates hike odds. However, we expect this downside XAU/USD tendency to be limited as more than 90% of market participants already believe in Interest Rates hike. Investors think about further FOMC step already. The price is still in a risky position and we advise to do nothing.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. There was no correction towards 1250-60,00. However, further downside tendency was also limited. We think that XAU/USD slows down its tendency and advise to be careful if you are looking for short trades.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions today as it is Friday and the situation is still unclear.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Silver is back to the balance line area and you may try to open short trades today. XAG/USD shows stable downtrend and we expect a downside momentum today. Stop loss should be 50:50 to take profit at least.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. There was no upside correction in the beginning of the week. This week is expected to be less volatile.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from 16,35-16,40 area. Place stop losses above the MA55 balance line.

Technical Outlook November 28, 2016




EUR/USD





There was a change in trend on Friday and we think that the price already includes the odds on the Interest Rates hike during December’s FOMC meeting. Investors are fixing USD long trades as we have previously expected. Market participants understand that USD growth is done and they have started to fix trades. The currency pair is running upwards during the Asian session. The price is trying to go beyond the upper side of the MA-channel. If you had a position from Friday, it closed with about 250 pips of losses. There was an opportunity to open long trades after the trend line was broken through. However, we gave no recommendations about it.

The downtrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The last candlestick’s body was short and there is a probability of further growth. We think that this correction targets 1,08500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line area or even higher. Place stop losses below the trend line on the Hourly timeframe.



GBP/USD





The currency pair is trying to accelerate its growth if GBP/USD continues this tendency, this correction is likely to start an uptrend. There are some important events upcoming that may influence market’s dynamics in the nearest future. We advise to pay attention to US Labor Market statistics on Friday, Italian referendum and Austrian Presidential elections, which are to take place on December. We advise to try long trades in the beginning of the week.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair is able to move towards 1,28000 this week. There is a probability, that GBP/USD is able to reach this level.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55. Place stop losses below this curve.



AUD/USD





There was no further growth after Friday’s morning upside dynamics. We gave no recommendations and this was the right decision to avoid trading. There is a strong resistance at 0,74600-75000 area. We think that there is a probability of return towards the MA55 balance line later today.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair failed to reach 0,71800 but we still think that the currency pair is able to go downwards after some upside correction.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions today as the situations is still unclear.



USD/CHF





Stop loss triggered on Friday. You could lose about 200 pips. The trend line was broken through (the situation is similar to EUR/USD’s one). There was an opportunity to open short trades after this event. However, trading was too risky on Friday as the trend still looks upwards.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,02000 but failed to touch the target that we have previously mentioned. We think that the currency pair is going to try to decline below the broken through trend line on the Weekly chart. In this case a downside correction may be even deeper than expected.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is still unclear.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 28, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Our Friday’s thoughts are becoming true as the dynamics is changing. Gold has found its bottom point and is going to correct upwards. We think that there is a probability of a strong uptrend in the nearest future. However, this tendency is still unstable and we advise to do nothing today.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. XAU/USD slows down its downtrend and starts its correction according to our expectations. We expect that the upside tendency is going to accelerate.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today as there are no clear signals.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





There was no opportunity to open short trades according to our recommendations as the tendency reversed. The uptrend is rather strong. The price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel and we give no recommendations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. Last week ended with a Doji and the currency pair is able to grow this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is still unclear.

Technical Outlook November 29, 2016




EUR/USD





The currency pair was close to the upper side of the MA-channel and there was no sense to give any recommendations. However, we left Friday’s recommendations by mistake. Market participants decided to reverse the upside correction and almost all positions gained during the Asian session were lost. We advise to pay attention today at the trendline. If it holds, we think the currency pair is able to resume its upside correction. In addition, we advise to pay attention to the US GDP data which is to be released today.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the Ma55 balance line. The currency pair formed a short body candlestick and we think that growth has some further potential. The currency pair is able to reach 1,08500 despite the fact that this growth is nothing more than a correction.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from 1,05750-1,05900. Place stop losses below the trendline.



GBP/USD





The currency pair still shows its weakness as compared to the others. The main reason are fears that UK economy is going to decline. One of the MPC members pronounced this opinion during his speech. Those comments resulted in a downtrend. However, everything may change during the week, but investors have negative moods. Yesterday’s long trades closed with no profit. We give no recommendations today as GBP/USD is fluctuating in the opposite side from the main direction, established by the other currency pairs.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. We think that the currency pair is able to move towards 1,28000 and even reach this level.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is still unclear.



AUD/USD





The currency pair meet some resistance at 0,75000 but still offers signals that it is able to break through this level. There is an opportunity to open long trades from here but you have to place stop loss below the MA55 balance line. It is even better to place stop losses below the trendline but in this case it will be huge. If this trade fails to bring profit, you may try to buy from the trendline on the Hourly chart.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the Ma55 balance line. The currency pair failed to reach 0,71800. However, we still believe it is able to resume its downside tendency after a short upside correction.

There is still the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.



USD/CHF





WE advise to search for short trades from the MA55 balance line or trend line on the Hourly chart today. It is better to sell as close to the trend line as possible in order to reduce stop loss. The volume of the position should be low as the situation on the Weekly chart is strange.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,02000 and failed to reach the established target. We think that the currency pair is going to try to decline below the broken through trend line on the Weekly chart. The correction is going to be deeper in this case.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the trend line area. Place stop losses above this trendline.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 29, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold established the uptrend but the current price pattern is not suitable for long trades. You may try to buy from the MA55 balance line but risks are too high. We think that there is a probability that the price is going to decline after US GDP data if this statistics is better than expected. AS for the technical analysis, it indicates on the further growth of the currency pair.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. XAU/USD slows down its downtrend and starts a correction according to our expectations. We think that the upside tendency is going to accelerate.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses below the curve.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Silver established a clear uptrend but the current pattern is strange. You may try long trades with low volume as risks are too high. We advise to pay attention to US GDP data which is to be released today.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. There was a doji last week and we think that Silver is able to grow.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.

Technical Outlook November 30, 2016




EUR/USD





Yesterday’s situation offered an opportunity to open long trades from 1,05750 according to our expectations with stop loss at 150 pips from the order price. There was no sense to place stop loss closer. The currency pair allowed taking about 750 pips as profit. USD GDP data was mixed as economy growth accelerates but deflator slows down. There is a great volume of macroeconomic statistics today from Europe and USA. The price is forming a triangle which is likely to resume the uptrend.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair formed a short body candlestick last week which indicates on the probability of further growth. This upside tendency is a part of a correction but it may target 1,08500.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment and wait for better signals.



GBP/USD





The currency pair tries to establish a wide range without any direction. We give no recommendations in this situation. WE think that this dynamics may continue today. However, you may try to open trades from the both sides of this range.

The downtrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. We think that the currency pair is able to go towards 1,28000 and GBP/USD may even reach this point.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is still unclear.



AUD/USD





The currency pair continues to fluctuate below the resistance level at 0,74900-0,75000. There are still no signs of breaking through this level and we think that the currency pair is able to bounce off this point if it holds Bulls attacks. Long trades from the MA55 balance line failed to bring profit and was closed as stop losses triggered. There was no opportunity to buy from the trend line as the price failed to reach it. We advise to do nothing today as there is a probability of a reverse.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair failed to reach 0,71800 level but we think that it still looks downwards and may resume its downside tendency after a correction.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is unclear.



USD/CHF





There was an opportunity to sell from the trend line on the Hourly chart according to our recommendations yesterday but if you placed stop losses close to the position, they have triggered. You should place stop losses at 250 pips from the strike price. The currency pair was in a profit area for 450 pips. It was enough to take profit and close positions. We advise to avoid trading today as the trend is weak and there is a probability of a reverse.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached 1,02000 but failed to touch previously established targets. We think that there will be attempts to decline below the trendline on the Weekly chart.

The downtrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is unclear.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook November 30, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold declined yesterday after US data release. It is to say that US data was mixed as there is a an acceleration in GDP growth but deflator slows down. We advise to pay attention to today’s large number of statistics from Europe and USA. XAU/USD growth was through a short correction that we have mentioned yesterday. However, the upside tendency is still actual but it is too weak and this trend is accompanied by corrections. We think that Gold is going to change its tendency or accelerate it today.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. Gold slows down its downtrend and starts a correction as we have expected. We think that the upside tendency is going to accelerate.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today as the situation is still unclear.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Yesterday’s long trades failed to bring profit as stop loss triggered. Those trades were too risky and we have mentioned it in our previous outllook. However, Silver is in the uptrend at the moment and you may try to buy it from the MA55 balance line or from the trendline on the Hourly chart.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. There was a doji last week indicating the probability of further growth this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to buy from the MA55 or from the Trend line on the Hourly chart.

Technical Outlook December 1, 2016




EUR/USD





The US data sent the dollar up and raised expectations for the December and March 2017. Wounds begins to consider the possible prices of the March increase. The fed said that the labor market reached full employment. Now all market participants ' attention will be focused on inflation and economic growth. Generated pricing model indicates a decrease.

On the weekly chart the downtrend, as the price is below МА55. The pair has formed a short body candle that speaks about possible continuation of growth. Growth corrective, but can last roughly up to 1,08500.

On the hourly chart neutral trend as the MA-channel moves horizontally, and the price is below МА55. You can consider sales from МА55, but the risk will be high, as the trend is neutral.



GBP/USD





In spite of a couple of allies trying to grow up. Again the behavior of the couple is not quite adequate, so her recommendations are not yet giving. The trend is trying to come to upward, but are still not established. Likely to return down.

On the weekly chart the downtrend, as the price is below МА55. This week has a chance to go in the direction of mark 1,28000, and it is even possible to achieve it.

On the hourly chart pre-upward trend, as MA-the channel is moving up and price is above МА55. Observed.



AUD/USD





The pair have not fulfilled the overcoming of resistance in the area 0,74900-0,75000 and went down in line with expectations. As expected, the decrease has been sharp and changed the trend on the downside. Today it is necessary to consider the sale.

On the weekly chart the trend is neutral as the price is МА55. The pair had not reached the goal 0,71800, but after some correction might resume its decline.

On the hourly chart downtrend, as MA-the channel is moving down and price is below МА55. Sales from the area МА55 and a broken trendline with a stop behind them.



USD/CHF





The pair made an attempt to change the trend, but somehow sluggish. However, the pricing model indicates the possible continuation of growth, so you can try to implement the sale. The weekly chart favors it.

On the weekly chart the uptrend as the price moves above МА55. The pair rose to 1,02000, a little before reaching the goal. This week attempts falls below the broken trend line on the weekly chart that can talk about a deeper correction down.

On the hourly chart the uptrend, as MA-the channel is moving up and price is above МА55. Purchase from the district МА55 with a stop behind her.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook December 1, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold changed the trend on strong data on the labor market in the United States. According to ADP employment change in the non-agricultural sector amounted to 216 000, while the expected total of 165 000. The fed said the U.S. labor market reached full employment. Against this background gold has updated the lows from February of this year. Now gold has a real purpose 1110,0. If U.S. data continue to predict that gold will quickly reach this level.

On the weekly chart the uptrend, as the price is above МА55. Gold slowed the downtrend and the beginning of a correction in line with expectations. Expect the acceleration of the upward movement.

On the hourly chart downtrend, as MA-the channel is moving down and price is below МА55. Sales from the area МА55 with a stop behind her.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





On silver purchases over the small stop. The trend for precious metals has changed and the mood too. On plus comments from representatives of the U.S. Federal reserve put pressure on the precious metals. Now, we need to consider only sales.

On the weekly chart the trend is neutral as the price is МА55. The past week has formed a Dodge, which indicates possible growth of the pair this week.

On the hourly chart downtrend, as MA-the channel is moving down and price is below МА55. Sales from the area МА55 and a broken trendline with a stop behind them.

Technical Outlook December 2, 2016




EUR/USD





On Thursday, the dollar fell by US trading and the pair grew accordingly. The deal for the sale on the recommendation was risky and closed in the negative. Perhaps the fixation of long dollar positions before on US labor market data today. Today released a report on the number of new jobs is a / x, for which the market reacts in different ways and it is very difficult to predict. For this reason, the risk is great, and I do not give advice.

On the weekly chart the downward trend as the price is below the MA55. The pair formed a short body candles, which indicates the probability of further growth. The growth of a corrective, but can last up to about 1.08500.

On the hourly chart the upward trend, as the MA-channel moves up, and the price is above the MA55. Observed.



GBP/USD





A small weakness of the dollar allowed the pair to continue to grow more aggressively. This also contributed to the statement of the British Minister for Brexit David Davis. However, all this movement is not associated with the technique, and a pair of reaction to the news background. I continue to insist, to refrain from a pair of transactions.

On the weekly chart the downward trend as the price is below the MA55. This week has a chance to go toward the mark of 1.28000, and it is even possible to achieve it.

On the hourly chart the upward trend previously as MA-channel moves up, and the price is above the MA55. Observed.



AUD/USD





The pair could not rise to the expected level of sales is an area of ??MA55 and a broken trendline. The pair has attempted in the morning, but not raised up. Today morning, the pair reached the MA55, but sales of it are obtained risky, as the pair could take up to a broken trend line. In any case, under today's US data is better not to trade.

On the weekly chart the trend is neutral, since the price is at MA55. The pair did not reach the target 0.71800, but after a correction is possible the resumption of decline.

On the hourly chart while a downward trend since the MA-channel moves down, and the price is below the MA55. Observed.



USD/CHF





The couple made it possible to enter into a purchase on the recommendation, but the development of growth is not received. From the current situation, the two outputs either breakeven or stop 150 points. The trend was weak and was unable to push the price higher. While the weekly chart is all worth it for growth. Under today's data on the US labor market is better not to get into the market.

On the weekly chart the upward trend as the price moves above the MA55. The pair rose to 1.02000, a little before reaching the goal. This week may attempt to drop below the broken trend line on the weekly chart, which will talk about the deeper downward correction.

On the hourly chart the trend is neutral, since the MA-channel moves horizontally, and the price is below the MA55. Observed.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook December 2, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold yesterday failed to recover the balance of the line MA55, so the transaction on the recommendation has not been fulfilled. This morning, a good position in gold sales, but as it is today expected data on the US labor market, the recommendations of today do not give. Market reaction to this data is not always adequate, and very sharp, so I try to get round this data.

On the weekly chart the upward trend, as the price is above the MA55. Gold has slowed down trend and the beginning of a correction in line with expectations. Is expected to accelerate the upward movement.

On the hourly chart while a downward trend since the MA-channel moves down, and the price is below the MA55. Observed.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Yesterday's recommendation to sell themselves on the silver worked best. See 25 points in profit on silver, is very good. Today silver placed in a very good position for sales and if not for today's statistics for the United States, would give a recommendation to sell.

On the weekly chart the trend is neutral, since the price is at MA55. The last week formed a Dodge, which speaks about the possible growth of the pair this week.

On the hourly chart the trend is neutral, since the MA-channel moves horizontally, and the price is at MA55. Observed.

Technical Outlook December 5, 2016




EUR/USD





US Labor Market data was main Friday’s release. This statistics was mixed as the number of new positions met the expectations but Average Hourly Earnings declined to -0,1% which is negative for inflation growth. The currency pair reaction was moderate. However, EUR/USD declined sharply today in the morning as Italian referendum prelim results are disappointing for Euro. Italian people voted against new amendments to the Constitution. Mateo Renzi is going to resign as he will lose the referendum.

The currency pair is in the downtrend as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no expected growth last week. EUR/USD is unlikely to reach 1,08500 as the results of Italian referendum are negative for Euro. We think that the currency pair is going to decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.



GBP/USD





The currency pair is likely to end its upside correction close to the 1,28500 level. Then it is going to decline as we expect. There is a strong uptrend and you may try to earn on this upside tendency if there is any opportunity. There is an important UK Service PMI data today. And we advise to pay attention to it. However, forecasts are close to the current figures.

The currency pair is in the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. GBP/USD was unable to reach 1,28000 but we think it is able to touch 1,28500 this week. We expect the currency pair to resume its decline then.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.



AUD/USD





The currency pair had an expected growth towards the broken through trendline. We gave no recommendations to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. The currency pair reached the trendline but it is still risky to open short trades as the uptrend is going to develop. We expect AUD/USD to decline this week and we advise to wait until the currency pair is going to reverse.

The currency pair is in the neutral trend as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. AUD/USD continues its upside correction this week but we expect it to decline towards 0,71800.

There is still the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment as the situation is disputable.



USD/CHF





The currency pair made several downside bursts but return to its previous positions. The weekly chart situation still determines fluctuations and breaks any attempts to establish new tendency. USD/CHF is trying to grow today in the morning allowing to open long trades. However, we advise to wait until the MA-channel changes its direction.

The currency pair is in the Uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating above the MA55 balance line. USD/CHF failed to decline below the trendline and we think that the currency pair is going to grow towards 1,03000.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as the situation is still unclear.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook December 5, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





XAU/USD’s reaction to Friday’s US Labor Market data was moderate. Today market react on the results of the Italian referendum which were unexpected for many investors as Italian people seems to give no support to Mateo Renzi initiative to make some key amendments to the Constitution. Italia is going to move away from the European Union and its prime minister Renzi is going to resign as he promised. This situation is likely to give some support to Gold as investors are likely to leave Euro searching for better assets.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. USD growth exerts some pressure on Gold. We think that XAU/USD is able to restore its positions after Italian Referendum.

There is still no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is neutral and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions at the moment.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Silver had some growth after US Labor Market data and Average Earnings declined and this is negative for inflation. Prices growth stimulate central banks to increase Interest Rates. However, Interest Rates hike odds decreased. Fed is going to hike Rates on December, but investors are waiting for further decisions already.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the Ma55 balance line. There was a doji last week. We think that the price growth is going to accelerate.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the trendline on the Hourly chart. Place stop losses below the line.

Technical Outlook December 6, 2016




EUR/USD





The currency pair reached both MA-channel sides and even crossed the upper one. This unnatural volatility is due to the Italian Referendum results, which were truly unexpected. However, all those moves are very suspicious, as Euro has to go down in this situation. We think that this upside local tendency is fake and the currency pair is going to decline in the nearest future. However, we also think that the currency pair is able to end its correction and then to go downwards. In this case EUR/USD will reach 1,08500 before its decline.

The currency pair is in the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no growth last week and the currency pair is unlikely to go towards 1,08500 after the results of the Italian Referendum. We think that EUR/USD is going to decline.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations today as the price is close to the upper side of the MA-channel.



GBP/USD





The currency pair failed to reach the balance line and offered no opportunity to open long trades. The uptrend is still strong and stable. You may try to buy from the MA55 balance line (if the price reaches this area) or from the MA13 (risks will be higher in this case). It is up to you to decide.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair failed to reach 1,28000 area but it is able to touch 1,28500 this week and then to resume its decline.

The currency pair is in the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line or from the MA13. Place stop losses below the curves.



AUD/USD





The currency pair continues its growth as there is the uptrend at the moment There is no sense to consider short trades as we see no signs of reverse. Today’s Reserve Bank of Australia meeting resulted in no changes in monetary policy. The currency pair had almost no reaction to this event. We still think that the trend is going to change.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continues its upside correction but we think that it is able to start to decline towards 0,71800 this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to take no decisions, as the situation is still unclear.



USD/CHF





The currency pair declined trying to break the pattern on the Weekly chart. The currency pair is in a suitable position to open long trades against the current trend. However, those long orders will be risky. We think that if the uptrend is to take place, eventual profit will be enough to cover eventual losses. The currency pair still have some room to decline and we advise to do nothing today.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. The currency pair failed to decline below the broken through trend line on the Weekly chart. We expect USD/CHF to grow towards 1,03000.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to avoid trading today as the situation is unclear.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook December 6, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold was trading in both directions on Monday as EUR’s reaction to the Italian Referendum was strange. We think that it is better to wait for a couple of days in order to understand what is happening. EUR’s reaction is truly nervous as EURO has to decline instead of growing according to the results of the Referendum. Situation with XAU/USD is also strange. We advise to do nothing today.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. Our expectations failed as USD press on Gold. We think that XAU/USD is going to grow after the Italian Referendum.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is neutral and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today as the situation is still unclear.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Silver is trading in both directions but with some upside bias indicating that the uptrend was established already. Yesterdays’ long trades closed by stops as the market was volatile and nervous. You may try to open long trades from the MA55 balance line today hoping that there will be no sharp bursts.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. Doji worked out and we think that the price growth is going to accelerate this week.

The currency pair is in the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses below the curve.

Technical Outlook December 7, 2016




EUR/USD





USD downside correction is ending and we may see greenback growth in the nearest future. It is time to prepare to sell the currency pair. The trend still looks upwards but AUD/USD as well as GBP/USD have already changed their tendencies and we think that EUR/USD is going to follow those majors. Two things that still support the currency pair’s uptrend are Monday’s momentum and tomorrows European Central Bank’s meeting.

Thee is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. There was no further growth and after the release of the Italian Referendum the currency pair is unlikely to reach 1,08500. We think that EUR/USD is going to continue its downside tendency.

The currency pair is in the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55 balance line. We give no recommendations today as the situation is unclear. However, we advise to prepare for short trades.



GBP/USD





Long trades from both the MA13 and the MA55 balance line failed to bring profit and the currency pair is likely to reverse its tendency. Everything becomes clear as USD gets more support from the upcoming FOMC decision. The currency pair goes downwards in a very aggressive manner. We think that it is risky to open short trades in this situation. It is better to wait until better signals to come.

The currency pair is in the Downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. GBP/USD failed to reach 1,28000 and reversed. However, we still think it is able to touch 1,28500 and then to decline.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.



AUD/USD





The currency pair declined sharply today in the morning after the Australian GDP q/q data. Quarterly release declined to -0,5 percent indicating a slowdown in economic growth in Australia. We think that this data is going to press on AUD and the currency pair may continue its downtrend in the nearest future.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55 balance line. The currency pair continues its upside tendency but we expect it to decline towards 0,71800.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses above the curve.



USD/CHF





The currency pair shows some signs of a reverse of the current tendency and you may try to open long trades today. If you opened long trades in the opposite side of the trend you could have some profit as the currency pair increased for 400-500 pips. We think that today USD/CHF is going to break its tendency. In this case the currency pair is likely to accelerate its growth. You may try to buy USD/CHF with large stop losses today.

The currency pair is in the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. All attempts to decline below the broken through trendline failed and we think that USD/CHF is going to grow towards 1,03000.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is neutral and the price is close to the MA55 balance line. We advise to do nothing today or to try long trades with stop losses below the Weekly lows.






Gold and Silver Technical Outlook December 7, 2016




GOLD (XAU/USD)





Gold was trading within a tight range with a downside bias. It is hard to say what direction the market is going to choose. However, if we look at the majors, USD is going to grow again. This may end the upside tendency and XAU/USD is likely to decline in this case. It is to say that Gold is in the downtrend at the moment and we think this tendency is likely to speed up.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55 balance line. USD growth press on XAU/USD. However, after the release of the results of the Italian Referendum Gold is likely to grow.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line area. Place stop losses above the curve.



SILVER (XAG/USD)





Silver allowed entering long trades from the MA55 balance line yesterday. The price was in the profit area for 200 pips. There was an opportunity to earn. However, the tendency is likely to be broken today and we think it is a good idea to prepare for short trades.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is close to the MA55 balance line. Doji on the Weekly chart offered some opportunities. We think that XAG/USD growth this week is going to accelerate.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 balance line. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 balance line. Place stop losses below the curve.