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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on July 29, 2022
Yesterday's attempt to break through the support of 1.0150 failed. After a decline of 83 points, the price was tossed and the day closed at the opening level. At this time, the signal line of the Marlin Oscillator reached the border with the growing trend territory and, according to the main scenario, it can now turn down from it, which will help the price overcome the support of 1.0150. This will be followed by a decline to the level of 1.0020.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...5e_source!.jpg
Another scenario allows the price to reach the resistance of the MACD line (1.0292) and only then turn down. An alternative scenario suggests an attack on the target level of 1.0360.
The bears' situation looks more alarming on the four-hour scale. The price bounced off the support of the MACD line for the third time and the Marlin Oscillator moved into the growing trend zone. The euro could weaken again if we receive disappointing data on the GDP of the eurozone, which will be released today. The quarterly forecast is 0.2%. The data should be weaker than predicted. Yesterday, the US GDP for the 2nd quarter showed a contraction of 0.9% against the forecast growth of 0.5%, so the data on the euro area may also be negative. If European data turns out to be stronger, EUR/USD will try to work out the upper targets.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...aa_source!.jpg
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 1, 2022
By this morning, the euro's situation is such that over the past four days the price has not overcome the support level of 1.0150, the downward potential was lost, and now the price is growing towards the nearest target of 1.0285 supported by the Marlin Oscillator growing in the positive area on the daily scale chart.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...3f_source!.jpg
Breaking the MACD line (1.0285) will open the target level of 1.0360 (the June 15 low). From this level, the probability of a price reversal down, into a medium-term decline, will increase by a lot.
On the H4 chart, it is noticeable that a four-fold upward price reversal occurred from the MACD indicator line. At the moment, the price is rising above the balance line, the Marlin Oscillator is growing in the upper half - in the territory of an upward trend.
The final estimates of the eurozone Manufacturing PMI for July will be published today, the forecast for it is unchanged at 49.6, as well as for the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, for which the forecast is already down: 52.0-52.3 against 53.0 a month earlier. We are waiting for the continuation of the euro's corrective growth.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...e6_source!.jpg
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on August 2, 2022
On the second attempt, that is, yesterday, the pound went above the target level of 1.2230 and above the balance indicator line. It continues to rise this morning, there is a difficult path just ahead to the target of 1.2435, and this target level may not be reached, as there is a technically strong 1.2405 ahead of it - the high of June 16 and earlier historical extremes. The Marlin Oscillator is growing, the growth potential has not been exhausted.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...c7_source!.jpg
The price has consolidated above the target level of 1.2230 on the four-hour chart, but the Marlin Oscillator does not share the price's optimism, intending to return to the downward trend zone.
This is already a manifestation of signs of a technically difficult upward movement. If the price settles below 1.2230, Marlin will return to the negative area, this will be the first sign of the completion of the corrective growth.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...b0_source!.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for USD/JPY for August 3 - 4, 2022: buy in case of rebound at 132.63 (5/8 Murray - 21 SMA)
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...d9_source!.jpg
USD/JPY has risen more than 350 pips in the last 48 hours, recovering strongly from the lowest level in almost two months. The pair bottomed at 130.39 at around 4/8 Murray and is now trading with an upward bias above the 21 SMA and above 5/8 Murray.
Since July 14, the Japanese yen strengthened, having fallen almost 900 pips from the high of 139.39 to the low of 130.39. The Japanese yen is currently showing signs of being oversold and any pullback is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity. The psychological level of 130.00 has become major support for USD/JPY. It is likely that as long as it trades above this level, it could resume its bullish cycle and could reach 135.00 (200 EMA) and even reach the psychological level of 140.00.
Risk appetite added pressure to USD/JPY, setting the stage for the yen's recovery that took more than 2 weeks. The strong technical bounce from earlier this week could signal the end of the downtrend. However, July payroll data will be released on Friday and could change the short-term outlook for the Japanese yen.
A return above the 200 EMA located and 135.08 will mean a resumption of the uptrend and USD/JPY could reach 137.50 (8/8 Murray) again and even reach the 24-year high at 139.38. On the other hand, any technical bounce above the 21 SMA located at 132.63 will still be a clear signal to buy. The pair could continue its rise to 135.00 and 137.50.
On August 1, the eagle indicator reached the extremely oversold zone of around 5 points which was a clear signal to buy. After reaching a high of 133.89 in the Asian session, it is showing signs of a technical correction. Hence, we can expect the price to rebound off 132.63 to buy again.
Our trading plan for the next few hours is to wait for a technical bounce at around 132.63 and buy the pair with targets at 6/8 Murray around 134.65 and at the 200 EMA around 135.12. *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 4, 2022)
The euro traded with a range of 45 points on Wednesday, closing the day at the opening level, above the support of 1.0150. The signal line of the Marlin Oscillator also failed to cross the zero line into the bears' territory. Thus, the price level of 1.0150 appears to be quite strong, the price may develop an acceleration when it is overcome. Downward targets: 1.0020, 0.9950.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...f3_source!.jpg
The price settled under both indicator lines on the H4 chart. Yesterday the price went through the shadows of the support at 1.0150 and the resistance of the MACD line. Marlin has a downward direction, we are waiting for the price to settle under 1.0150 and its further fall. This plan will be disrupted after the price settles above the MACD line (1.0195). In this case, the growth will continue to the daily MACD line - 1.0255.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...4e_source!.jpg
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on August 5, 2022
After an unsuccessful attempt to overcome technical support at 1.0150 on Wednesday, and the price jumped 77 points on Thursday in order to turn around from the MACD line, having received an impulse push from resistance, to make a subsequent attempt to a solid level of 1.0150. The Marlin Oscillator also did not have enough strength to overcome the zero line on the first attempt, after which it slightly rose and is now turning to a new attack.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...1e_source!.jpg
After the price settles below 1.0150, the movement will continue to the target level of 1.0020. An alternative scenario will open after the price settles above 1.0254, that is, above the daily MACD line. The nearest upside target will be the level of 1.0360 (15 June low), from which we still expect a reversal to the medium-term downside.
The price is formally in an upward position on the four-hour chart, as there is an increase above both indicator lines and Marlin in the upward trend territory, but based on the logic of the daily timeframe, we are waiting for the price to drop below the MACD line, below 1.0212, which will start the development of an attack on technical support for the daily timeframe. At the time of the price transition below 1.0212, the Marlin Oscillator will move into the downward trend zone. Consolidating above 1.0254 will prolong the euro's corrective growth
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...8e_source!.jpg
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for GBP/USD on August 8, 2022
The pound was falling by 151 points on Friday, having touched the support of the MACD trend line (1.2003) with the lower shadow of the daily candle. The price's departure under the trend indicator line will mean a resumption of a decline in the medium term. The first target on this path is the level of 1.1800.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...0788a4425b.jpg
The Marlin Oscillator remains in positive territory for now. Apparently, this circumstance did not allow the price to overcome the support on Friday. Now there is such a situation that the price overcoming the MACD line (1.2003) and the transition of the oscillator to a negative position can coincide in time. Such synchronicity can give a strong momentum to the price in moving down. If the price goes back above 1.2100, then the decline will be delayed for a day or two. Overcoming 1.2230 will open the 1.2435 target.
https://forex-images.ifxdb.com/userf...0787b9fad8.jpg
The price has consolidated under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the Marlin Oscillator is developing in negative territory. We are waiting for the price to move down according to the predominant downward scenario.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
Analysis are provided by InstaForex.
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