Looks like forecasts concerning future fall of dollar are doubtful:
Monday, December the 7th shown that market is getting a new trend and allowed to make forecasts for the near future. The fact that dollar kept its positions is a sign that last Friday's motion was not a short-term reaction to the unexpectedly positive data on the US labor market. Recent dynamics has revealed the positive approach of investors to both the USA and its currency owing to encouraging data from the continent. It is also important to stress, that even Bernanke’s discreet performance on current situation did not cause more or less significant damage to dollar, even though he put to question last Friday’s market volatility. He tried to convince us that it is necessary to obtain further evidence for the stabilization of labour market before jumping to any conclusions.
In addition, yesterday some important data on consumer credit was published better than expected, while negative trends are still present.
So for now the only occasion that could undermine dollar’s strengthening could be a report on retail sales.
On the other hand, euro seriously disappointed investors by not having regained its positions against dollar. Economic news was mixed. In November the index of public moods was higher than for the last five months in 16 countries of the EU. Euro-zone economy performed slow recovery in the third quarter, after European governments have spent billions of euros on anti-crisis measures, and the global economy continues to gain momentum, thereby increasing demand for European exports.
Euro zone economic Calendar has more issues than that in the United States. Today will be published data on industrial production. It’s interesting to see if fall in foreign demand for the production of this sector has influenced EU economy. Nevertheless, it is unlikely that this data will be of a significant impact on the markets.