-
The pound reversed below the new support level at $1.53, warning of a bull trap.
Expect another test of $1.48.
Recovery above $1.53, however, would signal a rally to $1.60, confirmed if the declining trendline is broken.
"P&F GBPUSD1440 Box Size 250X3 or(4.33%) HI/LO
Data 2.1161 - 1.3502 ~ 91 Month ~ 2797 Day
Database 2000 records 1.52649 (Last Close)
2002-09-02 00~00
2010-04-30 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...05_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Пара евро\ена это пара на которой нужно "разминаться" перед торговлей фунт\ена. По этой паре всегда много аналитики и краткосрочной и долгосрочной, есть бесплатные эксперты и советники.
EURJPY Outlook
As you can see in charts below, the lower line of the bullish channel did a good job preventing further bearish pressure and keep the bullish scenario intact. The bias is neutral in nearest term as we haven't see significant bullish momentum so far. Immediate resistance at 125.65. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum targeting 126.50 region. Initial support at 124.66 (current low). Break below that area could trigger further downside pressure re-testing the lower line of the bullish channel once again.
"P&F EURJPY1440 Box Size200X3 or(4.25%) HI/LO
Data 169.97 - 112.16 ~ 37 Month ~ 1152 Day
Database 825 records 124.7 (Last Close)
2007-03-05 00~00
2010-04-30 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...04_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Предполагаю, что пока движения вверх не будет, возможно после консолидации, а в краткосрочном периоде всё же вниз.
USDJPY is currently trading 94.70 levels. A break above 94.30(2 days close), we could target 97-98 levels. Weekly close above 92 levels has increased chances for a bearish move for the yen currency. Importers hold for medium term covers. (USDJPY- 94.70). Long Term (3-6 months) target 98 and higher.We just need a conistent break of 94.30 to make thes happen.
"P&F USDJPY1440 Box Size 140X4 or(5.32%) HI/LO
Data 125.75 - 84.819 ~ 92 Month ~ 2800 Day
Database 2000 records 94.26 (Last Close)
2002-09-04 00~00
2010-05-05 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
126.00|~14O||_____________________________|-0.2%|48.55%
124.60|~28O||XoX__________________________|0.91%|4 6.9%
123.20|~42O||XoXo________X________________|2.03%|4 5.25%
121.80|~56O||XoXo______X_Xo_______________|3.14%|4 3.6%
120.40|~7OO||Xo_o____X_XoXo_______________|4.25%|4 1.95%
119.00|~84O||X__o____XoXoXo_______________|5.37%|4 0.3%
117.60|~98O||___o____XoXoXoX______________|6.48%|3 8.65%
116.20|~112O|___o____XoXo_oXo_____________|7.59%|3 7%
114.80|~126O|___o__X_XoX__oXo_____________|8.71%|3 5.35%
113.40|~14OO|___o__XoXoX__oXoX____________|9.82%|3 3.7%
112.00|~154O|___oX_XoXoX__o_oXo___________|10.93%| 32.05%
110.60|~168O|___oXoXoXoX____oXoX__________|12.05%| 30.4%
109.20|~182O|___oXoXoXo_____oXoXo_________|13.16%| 28.74%
107.80|~196O|___oXoXoX______o_oXo_________|14.27%| 27.09%
106.40|~21OO|___o_oXoX________oXo_________|15.39%| 25.44%
105.00|~224O|_____oXoX________oXo_________|16.5%|2 3.79%
103.60|~238O|_____o_oX________oXo_________|17.61%| 22.14%
102.20|~252O|_______o_________oXo_________|18.73%| 20.49%
100.80|~266O|=================oXo======X==|19.84%| 18.84%
99.40|~28OO||_________________oXoX___X_Xo_|20.95%| 17.19%
98.00|~294O||_________________oXoXo__XoXo_|22.07%| 15.54%
96.60|~3O8O||_________________o_oXo__XoXo_|23.18%| 13.89%
95.20|~322O||___________________oXo__XoXo_|24.29%| 12.24%
93.80|~336O||===================oXoX=Xo=oX|25.41%| 10.59%
92.40|~35OO||___________________oXoXoX__oX|26.52%| 8.94%
91.00|~364O||___________________o_oXoX__oX|27.63%| 7.29%
89.60|~378O||_____________________oXoX__oX|28.75%| 5.64%
88.20|~392O||_____________________o_o___oX|29.86%| 3.99%
86.80|~4O6O||___________________________oX|30.97%| 2.34%
85.40|~42OO||===========================o=|32.09%| 0.68%
84.00|~434O||_____________________________|33.2%|-0.97%
Column|||||||54314689189458474111684484516|
Count||||||||___3____3________2O4_______1_|
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...05_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Пора бы всё же вниз. По-моему в скором времени это произойдёт, подробности на графике. Движение вверх в размках нисходящего канала себя уже исчерпало. Возможно какие-либо фундаментальные данные дадут толчёк...
After crossing the bearish trend line inside the upward trend channel, the NZD/USD pulled back from its horizontal resistance line around 0.7310. It was the markets' fifth touch with the lower line of the channel before it recovered back to its current price. If the market breaks the horizontal resistance around 0.7310, we might see further gains. Otherwise, it might continue its bullish zigzag phase inside the bullish channel.
"P&F NZDUSD1440 Box Size 125X3 or(5.83%) HI/LO
Data 0.8214 - 0.4644 ~ 93 Month ~ 2811 Day
Database 2000 records 0.71823 (Last Close)
2002-08-30 00~00
2010-05-11 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...11_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Экзотическая пара евро\новозеландский доллар. Волатильность фантастическая, не исключено, что не закончено нисходящее движение. Полагаю, что можно расчитывать на дальнейшее снижение пары, как минимум на прощальный шип.
Trade Idea: EURNZD - Sell at 1.800 Target: 1.6400, Stop: 1.8200
=============================================
We are going into a period of potentially unusual price action at the beginning
of the week. An extended holiday for US, UK and New Zealand markets will warp
liquidity which could lead to untimely breakouts or simply a drop back into
congestion bands. This presents significant risk to all range-based strategies;
but EURNZD may have a better grounding for holding its congestion.
"P&F EURNZD1440 Box Size 300X3 or(4.27%) HI/LO
Data 2.5792 - 1.6343 ~ 84 Month ~ 2562 Day
Database 1833 records 1.7729 (Last Close)
2003-05-07 00~00
2010-05-12 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...12_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Предполагаю, что в краткосрочном периоде можно ожидать коррекционное движение франка вниз. В связи с чем можно поставить отложенный ордер, рассчитанный на начало такого движения.
Trade Idea: USDCHF - Sell at 1.1120 Target: 1.0920, Stop: 1.1200
==============================================
The pair is still fluctuating around pivotal resistance 1.1120; whereas the bullish technical pattern is still intact and awaits a start signal that will be achieve through building a base above 1.1120. MA 50 is supporting the pair to move to the upside, therefore we expect a bullish intraday trend that targets 1.1250 – 1.1290 and requires the four hour close above 1.1050.
"P&F USDCHF1440 Box Size 200X3 or(4.83%) HI/LO
Data 1.5176 - 0.9644 ~ 92 Month ~ 2787 Day
Database 2001 records 1.1172 (Last Close)
2002-09-26 00~00
2010-05-14 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...13_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Да, действительно падение евро настолько сильно, что под сомнением мощная поддержка в районе 1,24-1,23. После уверенного прохождения этого рубежа можно будет дискутировать даже тему паритета :biggrin: А пока в расчёте на отскок можно поставить ордер Buy-stop от указанного уровня.
Trade Idea:EUR/USD - Buy-stop at 1.2650 Target: 1.2800 ; Stop: 1.2575
================================================== ====================
Price action on EUR/USD, a chart of which is shown, has just broken down swiftly below the key 1.2500 support level, establishing a new 18-month low and lending a significant additional bearish bias to this strongly downtrending currency pair.
A continuation of the steep overall downtrend has now been confirmed, with price currently targeting a key downside support target in the 1.2300 price region.
Any substantial breakdown below 1.2300 could potentially begin to target the technically- and psychologically-important 1.2000 level, which is also around a 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the most recent bearish run.
The broken 1.2500 level should now serve as tentative upside resistance within the context of the strong current downtrend.
"P&F EURUSD1440 Box Size 200X3 or(4.68%) HI/LO
Data 1.6038 - 0.9607 ~ 92 Month ~ 2796 Day
Database 2000 records 1.23566 (Last Close)
2002-09-17 00~00
2010-05-14 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
1.6200|~2OO||____________________+________________ _______|-1.01%|68.63%
1.6000|~4OO||________________x___x_+______________ _______|0.24%|66.55%
1.5800|~6OO||________________x_o_x_o_+____________ _______|1.48%|64.46%
1.5600|~8OO||________________x_o_x_o___+__________ _______|2.73%|62.38%
1.5400|~1OOO|________________x_o___o_____+________ _______|3.98%|60.3%
1.5200|~12OO|________________x_____o_______+______ ___+___|5.23%|58.22%
1.5000|~14OO|________________x_____o_________+____ ___x_+_|6.47%|56.14%
1.4800|~16OO|________________x_____o_x_________+__ ___x_o_|7.72%|54.05%
1.4600|~18OO|________________x_____o_x_o_____x___+ ___x_o_|8.97%|51.97%
1.4400|~2OOO|________________x_____o_x_o_____x_o__ _+_x_o_|10.21%|49.89%
1.4200|~22OO|________________x_____o_x_o_____x_o__ ___x_o_|11.46%|47.81%
1.4000|~24OO|________________x_____o___o_____x_o__ ___x_o_|12.71%|45.73%
1.3800|~26OO|________________x_________o_____x_o__ ___x_o_|13.95%|43.65%
1.3600|~28OO|________x_______x_________o_____x_o_x ___x_o_|15.2%|41.56%
1.3400|~3OOO|________x_o_x___x_________o_____x_o_x _o_x_o_|16.45%|39.48%
1.3200|~32OO|________x_o_x_o_x_________o_x___x_o_x _o_x_o_|17.7%|37.4%
1.3000|~34OO|________x_o_x_o_x_________o_x_o_x_o_x _o___o_|18.94%|35.32%
1.2800|~36OO|____x___x_o___o_x_______+_o_x_o_x_o_x _____o_|20.19%|33.24%
1.2600|~38OO|____x_o_x_____o_x_____+___o_x_o_x_o__ _____o_|21.44%|31.15%
1.2400|~4OOO|====x=o=x=====o=x===+=====o===o=+==== =====o=|22.68%|29.07%
1.2200|~42OO|____x_o_x_____o_x_+___________+______ _____+_|23.93%|26.99%
1.2000|~44OO|____x_o_x_____o_x____________________ _______|25.18%|24.91%
1.1800|~46OO|x___x_o_______o______________________ _______|26.42%|22.83%
1.1600|~48OO|x_o_x_______+________________________ _______|27.67%|20.75%
1.1400|~5OOO|x_o_x_____+__________________________ _______|28.92%|18.66%
1.1200|~52OO|x_o_x___+____________________________ _______|30.17%|16.58%
1.1000|~54OO|x_o_x_+______________________________ _______|31.41%|14.5%
1.0800|~56OO|x_o_+________________________________ _______|32.66%|12.42%
1.0600|~58OO|x_+__________________________________ _______|33.91%|10.34%
1.0400|~6OOO|x____________________________________ _______|35.15%|8.25%
1.0200|~62OO|x____________________________________ _______|36.4%|6.17%
1.0000|~64OO|x____________________________________ _______|37.65%|4.09%
0.9800|~66OO|x____________________________________ _______|38.9%|2.01%
0.9600|~68OO|_____________________________________ _______|40.14%|-0.07%
Column|||||||1_5_1_5_9_4_3_8_2_3_3_1_4_1_4_4_1_1_5 _3_1_1_|
Count||||||||1___O___________1_____O___2_____1_O__ ___O_3_|
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...-L_%282%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Есть такое предположение,что фунт будет слабеть, а ена "сильнеть" Вот исходя из такого предположения, которое в том числе может и оказаться верным и сделан данный прогноз. Основанием для предположения является то, что пара прошла почти весь путь до последнего минимума и перед возможным ростом нужно сделать прощальный шип.
Trade Idea: GBP\JPY - Sell-Limin at 133.20; Target: 126.10 ; Stop: 135.00
================================================== =
The GBPJPY attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 134.79 but whipsawed to the downside, bottomed at 131.82 and hit 130.40 earlier today in Asian session. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 129.89 area. However price is already in oversold area so watch out for potential upside correction testing 133.00 resistance area. Break above that area could lead us into no trading zone as direction would become unclear but the main scenario remains to the downside and I still prefer short on rallies strategy at this phase.
"P&F GBPJPY1440 Box Size400X3 or(6.49%) HI/LO
Data 251.09 - 118.785 ~ 92 Month ~ 2812 Day
Database 2001 records 131.555 (Last Close)
2002-09-06 00~00
2010-05-19 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...19_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Trade Idea:EUR/GBP - Sell Limit at 85.30 Target: 84.00 ; Stop:86.10
==========================================
The royal pair closed negatively yesterday below the initial support levels-turned into resistance at 0.8605-. Consequently, it might retest the broken downtrend line of the descending channel before resuming the bullishness, which is based on the suggested double bottom formation. We are not sure that the above mentioned trend line could assist the pair to consolidate once more as the indicators shows consecutive negative signs. Thus, we need more confirmation and therefore our outlook will be neutral until we see a stable move above 0.8605 zones.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 0.8420 and key resistance now at 0.8720
"P&F EURGBP1440 Box Size 120X3 or(4.49%) HI/LO
Data 0.9799 - 0.6244 ~ 92 Month ~ 2808 Day
Database 2000 records 0.85229 (Last Close)
2002-09-16 00~00
2010-05-25 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
0.9840|~12O||____________________________________|-0.42%|57.59%
0.9720|~24O||________________x___________________| 0.81%|55.67%
0.9600|~36O||________________x_o_____+___________| 2.03%|53.75%
0.9480|~48O||________________x_o_x___x_+_________| 3.26%|51.83%
0.9360|~6OO||________________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_______| 4.48%|49.9%
0.9240|~72O||________________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____| 5.7%|47.98%
0.9120|~84O||________________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x___| 6.93%|46.06%
0.9000|~96O||________________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_| 8.15%|44.14%
0.8880|~1O8O|________________x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_| 9.38%|42.22%
0.8760|~12OO|________________x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_| 10.6%|40.29%
0.8640|~132O|____________x___x_____o___o_x_o___o_| 11.83%|38.37%
0.8520|~144O|============x=o=x=========o=======o=| 13.05%|36.45%
0.8400|~156O|____________x_o_x___________________| 14.28%|34.53%
0.8280|~168O|____________x_o_____________________| 15.5%|32.61%
0.8160|~18OO|________x___x_____________________+_| 16.73%|30.69%
0.8040|~192O|________x_o_x___________________+___| 17.95%|28.76%
0.7920|~2O4O|________x_o_x_________________+_____| 19.18%|26.84%
0.7800|~216O|________x_o_________________+_______| 20.4%|24.92%
0.7680|~228O|________x_________________+_________| 21.62%|23%
0.7560|~24OO|________x_______________+___________| 22.85%|21.08%
0.7440|~252O|________x_____________+_____________| 24.07%|19.15%
0.7320|~264O|________x___________+_______________| 25.3%|17.23%
0.7200|~276O|x_______x_________+_________________| 26.52%|15.31%
0.7080|~288O|x_o_x___x_______+___________________| 27.75%|13.39%
0.6960|~3OOO|x_o_x_o_x_____+_____________________| 28.97%|11.47%
0.6840|~312O|x_o_x_o_x___+_______________________| 30.2%|9.55%
0.6720|~324O|x_o_x_o_x_+_________________________| 31.42%|7.62%
0.6600|~336O|x_o___o_+___________________________| 32.65%|5.7%
0.6480|~348O|x_____+_____________________________| 33.87%|3.78%
0.6360|~36OO|x___________________________________| 35.1%|1.86%
0.6240|~372O|____________________________________| 36.32%|-0.06%
Column|~384O|8_5_4_4_1_3_7_3_1_7_5_7_7_8_7_6_4_5_|
Count||~396O|________3_______2___________________|
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...25_%281%29.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
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Trade Idea: USD/CAD - Buy Limit at 1.044; Target: 1.084 ; Stop: 1.028.
=================================================
Since the middle of May, the USD/CAD has been trading in a bullish trend. Recently, the prices rebounded at its upper Fibonacci Fan and could recover at its Fan around 1.0645 (50.0). Now it seems that the USD could start a pull back. Important is a breakthrough of the 61.8 Fan. Also the crossing Stoch indicator through the signal line from below may indicate a further bullish trend.
"P&F USDCAD1440 Box Size 200X3 or(4.79%) HI/LO
Data 1.5995 - 0.9056 ~ 92 Month ~ 2812 Day
Database 2000 records 1.06469 (Last Close)
2002-09-13 00~00
2010-05-26 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/2...UsdCad0526.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart