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  1. #3711
    Senior Investor IFX Gertrude's Avatar
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: ETHUSD Potential For Bearish Continuation | 29th November 2022



    Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ETHUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market .If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the 1st support at 1071.11, where the -previous swing low is located. In an alternate scenario, price could possibly head back up towards the 1st resistance level at 1291.84, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located. Trading Recommendation Entry: 1302.56 Reason for Entry: 1st resistance line Take Profit:1071.11 Reason for Take Profit: 1st support line Stop Loss: 1677.00 Reason for Stop Loss: Slightly above where the 2nd resistance line is located.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  2. #3712
    Senior Investor maspluto's Avatar
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    The ability to analyze has a very important factor in making profits in forex. And as a trader, you have to hone your analytical skills on a regular basis, and apart from analytical skills, management must also be developed, so that you can make it easier to make profits with the Tickmill broker.

  3. #3713
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/MXN Currency Pair Intraday Price Movement Technical Analysis Wednesday November 30, 2022.



    With price movements moving below the Moving Average of the 100 period and the CCI indicator still moving in the range of 0 to -100 levels on the 4-hour chart, the condition of the USD/MXN currency pair is confirmed to be still moving in a bearish bias while currently an upward correction is occurring. stuck at the Resistance level 19,268-19,240 if this level area is strong to hold the upward correction rate and does not exceed the 19,390 level then USD/MXN will have the potential to fall again down to the 19,036 level.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  4. #3714
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD. Overview for December 1, 2022



    On Wednesday, there was no movement in the EUR/USD currency pair. We wouldn't have been shocked if this situation had occurred on Monday or Tuesday because there hasn't been a single significant event or report published lately. On Wednesday, there were a ton of macroeconomic statistics. Still, traders paid no attention to the report on European inflation, although it was just as alarming as the last one on American inflation, which sparked this rally. Yet again, we are convinced that the impact of European statistical data on trader sentiment is minimal. But the main point is that quite significant reports from abroad were disregarded yesterday. The ADP report could cause a market reaction if everything in the GDP report is clearer because such reports always come out with three estimates. After the first estimate, it is clear what to expect from the value for a particular quarter.

    And it's puzzling why the market didn't find anything interesting in them when we consider all the information and data received. As a result, the pair is still relatively close to the moving average line, and it is still determining the direction of its future movement. For the past week and a half, we have been anticipating a significant downward correction, but this calls for a fix that is at least below the moving average. Formally, the consolidation was visible on Tuesday, but 20 points hardly qualify as a confident result. We focus on the second rebound from Murray level "6/8"-1.0498. Two rebounds from this level could signal the start of a corrective movement. As you can see, traders were unmoved by yesterday's data, so we now have to wait for Friday's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment figures.

    In the third quarter, US GDP increased.

    Since the GDP report typically includes three estimates, as we mentioned above, traders know what to expect before the second or third estimate is released. However, yesterday's report caught some people off guard because, contrary to expectations of +2.6–2.7% q/q, the actual value was 2.9%. This strong deviation should have benefited the value of the US dollar. Not only was the EU inflation report disregarded, but so was a rather significant GDP with an unexpected value. Even the ADP report received no response. Therefore, even though we think traders still have access to the factors supporting the US currency, they are not yet eager to repurchase the dollar.

    As a result, the third quarter of the American economy displays very positive dynamics and can easily compensate for the "disadvantages" of the first two quarters. If this occurs, the Fed will have many more opportunities to raise interest rates as much as it wants. It is again good for the dollar because if inflation stops falling, the Fed will still have opportunities to tighten monetary policy more than expected. It will then become very difficult to talk about a recession in the US economy. Additionally, the fact that there isn't a recession is excellent news for the American economy. Similar to how it is for every other economy in the world. For instance, it is unlikely that the European economy will be spared from such "happiness." Additionally, a slower inflation rate in the Eurozone might encourage the ECB to raise the key rate gradually over the next few months. The euro currency may experience the same fate as the dollar, which has been declining for several months due to the Fed's potential decision to raise interest rates more gradually than previously. Although there are more and more signs pointing to a new rise in the dollar's value, more precise technical signals are still needed to test this theory. We will only analyze Jerome Powell's speech today because it is crucial to know how the market will respond.

    As of December 1, the euro/dollar currency pair's average volatility over the previous five trading days was 103 points, considered "high." So, on Thursday, we anticipate the pair to fluctuate between 1.0331 and 1.0538 levels. The Heiken Ashi indicator's turning downward indicates a new phase of the corrective movement.

    Nearest levels of support
    S1 – 1.0376
    S2 – 1.0254
    S3 – 1.0132

    Nearest levels of resistance
    R1 – 1.0498
    R2 – 1.0620
    R3 – 1.0742

    Trading Suggestions:

    The EUR/USD pair is still positioned close to the moving average. To avoid the Heiken Ashi indicator turning down, new long positions with targets of 1.0498 and 1.0538 should now be considered. Only after fixing the price below the moving average line with targets of 1.0254 and 1.0132 will sales become significant.

    Explanations of the illustrations:

    Linear regression channels help determine the current trend. The trend is strong if both are directed in the same direction.

    The moving average line (settings 20.0, smoothed) determines the short-term trend and the direction to trade now.

    Murray levels are target levels for movements and corrections.

    Volatility levels (red lines) are the likely price channel in which the pair will spend the next day, based on current volatility indicators.

    The CCI indicator – its entry into the oversold area (below -250) or into the overbought area (above +250) means that a trend reversal in the opposite direction is approaching.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  5. #3715
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 2, 2022

    In anticipation of today's US jobs data, on the back of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's seemingly not obvious dovish speech, the euro rose 119 pips yesterday. The price crossed the target level of 1.0470, the peak of November 28, and is now heading to the target range of 1.0015/42. The range is defined by the highs of June and May. So far, the price is going with our scenario with forming a divergence when the target range is reached.



    On the four-hour chart, there is a sign that a double divergence is forming with the Marlin oscillator. In the current market sentiment, it may mean a pause in growth in anticipation of new important information. That will be the U.S. employment data for November. Forecast is 200,000 new jobs, compared to 261,000 in October.

    The improving dynamics of weekly unemployment claims and yesterday's drop of the ISM Manufacturing Employment subindex from 50.0 to 48.4 might be weaker than expected. Traders will be waiting for this situation to become clearer.



    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  6. #3716
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movements of Crude Oil Commodity Assets, Monday, December 05 2022.



    On the daily chart, the Crude Oil commodity asset can be seen that Friday's bar has a Close that overlaps with the PL Dots so that it forms a Support/Block area at Friday's low to push up Crude Oil's movement on Monday Dec 05, 2022 as for Crude Oil on Monday is predicted to be pushed by market players to the Projection High area at the 81.57 level. If this level is successfully broke, then the 82.20 level which is the Sacrosanct Level / Halo will be the main target to be broke upwards as long as the 79.66 block area is not penetrated below.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  7. #3717
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    Forecasting the destination of the market is the most essential job to do to succeed in trading. While trading, we mostly prefer looking at indicators but we don’t know that candlesticks’ shape and sizes foretell us the market’s direction. Eurotrader’s trading platform is highly reliable because it is free of technical glitches.

  8. #3718
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 6, 2022

    By the end of Monday the dollar index gained 0.78%, oil prices fell by 3.66% and the Australian dollar fell by 1.37%. The price overcame the support at 0.6730 and now it is trying to increase in today's Asian session, but without losing the opportunity to settle below the level.



    The price can reach the target support at 0.6642, in case it overcomes yesterday's low at 0.6688, in which case the signal line of the Marlin oscillator will break through the zero line and move into the territory of the downtrend. Divergence continues to exert its effect on the price.



    On the four-hour chart, the price settled under the MACD line and under the level of 0.6730. Also, the Marlin oscillator settled in the negative territory. By cumulative circumstances of both charts, the bears have advantages. We wait for things to progress and AUD to reach the target support at 0.6642.

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  9. #3719
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement of the GBP/AUD Cross Currency Pair Wednesday, December 07, 2022.



    With the GBP/AUD price movement on the daily chart still moving above its 50 MA and the formation of the Bullish 123 pattern followed by Ross Hook (RH) it can be seen that buyers are still dominating this cross currency pair but it seems that in the near future it will be corrected slightly to the level 1.7916 but please pay attention as long as the downward correction does not exceed the 1.7700 level, then you can be sure that GBP/AUD is still in a bullish condition and will try to test the 1.8256 level. (Disclaimer)

    *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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  10. #3720
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    Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signal for GOLD (XAU/USD) on December 08-09, 2022: buy above $1,775-1,781 (+1/8 Murray - uptrend channel)



    XAU/USD is trading around 1,782, above the 21 SMA showing a bullish bias. It is likely that if gold consolidates above this area, it could reach the zone of 1,803 and even reach +2/8 Murray located in 1,812.

    Investors are worried as Vladimir Putin said the threat of nuclear war is growing, suggesting they would use nuclear weapons in response to an attack on his country. This news could increase risk aversion and investors could take refuge in gold. hence, the price could reach levels of 1,850, even quickly climbing as high as the landmark level of 1,900.

    Risk aversion could increase, causing investors to be very cautious. This is due to negative data from China, raising concerns about a global recession. This assures investors to take refuge in gold and the price could increase only if it consolidates above the psychological level of 1,800 -1,812.

    Yesterday in the American session, gold quickly rose above the uptrend channel, breaking the 21 SMA (1,780) and reaching the swing high of 1,788.06.

    The asset is currently consolidating above the key level of 1,781 (21 SMA), suggesting that if it settles above this area, the price could resume the bullish cycle in the next few hours.

    In the next few hours, we expect XAU/USD to trade above 1,781 and reach the resistance of 1,803 and even the high of Dec 5 at 1,810. On the other hand, in case of a technical bounce around the uptrend channel formed since November 22, we will have an opportunity to buy around 1,775.

    A close on the 4-hour chart below 1,770 and a sharp break of the uptrend channel are critical to trigger further declines in gold. The metal could quickly reach the 8/8 Murray (1,750) and even the 200 EMA located at 1,736.

    Our trading plan for the next few hours is to buy gold above 1,781 or in case of a technical bounce around 1,775, with targets at 1,803 and 1,812. *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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