Thread: InstaForex Wave Analysis

Forex Analysis & Reviews: AUDUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 15th November 2022



With the price moving above the ichimoku cloud on the H4, we have a bullish bias that the price will rise to the first resistance at 0.67711, which is in line with the 161.8% fibonacci line. If the first resistance is broken, the second should be at 0.69161, the previous swing high. Alternatively, the price could fall to the first support level at 0.65398, which is marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci line.

Trading Recommendation
Entry: 0.67711
Reason for Entry: 1st resistance line
Take Profit: 0.65398
Reason for Take Profit:
1st support line
Stop Loss: 0.69161
Reason for Stop Loss:
Previous swing high and 1st resistance line

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of GBP/USD for November 16, 2022



Technical Market Outlook: The GBP/USD pair has been seen moving higher towards the next target for bulls which is located at 161% Fibonacci extension level at 1.2073. So far the local high was made at the level of 1.2026 and then a 2% pull-back followed. The intraday technical support is seen at 1.1760, 1.1734 and 1.1722. The strong and positive momentum on the H4 time frame chart supports the bullish outlook for GBP despite the extremely overbought market conditions, however please stay focused and viligant as the pull-back lower might come any time now as the market looks overstretched o n H4 time frame chart.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.19243
WR2 - 1.18500
WR1 - 1.18089
Weekly Pivot - 1.17757
WS1 - 1.17346
WS2 - 1.17014
WS3 - 1.16271

Trading Outlook:
The Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern that was made on the weekly time frame chart has been invalidated and the strong green weekly candle was made. The bulls are temporary in control of the market and the 38% Fibonacci retracement of the last wave down located at 1.1830 had been tested as well. On the other hand, the level of 1.0351 has not been tested since 1985, so the down trend is strong. In order to terminate the down trend, bulls need to break above the level of 1.2275 (swing high from August 10th). *The market analysis posted here is meant to incr

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 Index Intraday Price Movement, Thursday November 17, 2022



On 4 hour chart Nasdaq 100 Index seems visible if #NDX still moving within its Bullish Pitchfork channel even so because of its failure to touch the top line of the Bullish Pitchfork channel it can be considered as Hagopian Rules which confirms that in the near future #NDX will depreciated in the near future where it is also confirmed by the emergence of the Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern so that in the near future #NDX will try to test and broke below the level 11670,5 if this level is successfully broken then #NDX has the potential to fall to 11121.8 as the main target and 10789.1 as the next target to be tested with a note that on its way to the target level it does not return to its initial bias (Bull) until it exceeds above 12082. because if this level is successfully broken, it is very likely that the downside scenario described above will become invalid.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on November 18, 2022

Despite the euro's strong desire to go down yesterday, it was not possible to overcome the support of 1.0360, the day closed higher. This morning the price is at the level, waiting for external incentives for further action. Yesterday, such incentives were the fall of oil by 3.76% and the decline of gold by 0.79%.



The daily Marlin Oscillator is declining smoothly, while there are no signs that the price may abandon attempts to break through 1.0360. If this happens, the 1.0205 target will become available.



On the four-hour chart, the price is supported by the indicator balance line (red moving line), but, nevertheless, the Marlin Oscillator has been in the negative area for a long time, so the price is unlikely to stop trying to overcome the supports. On the way to 1.0205, there is a MACD line (1.0260). It is also an important support to overcome. If the attempt is still unsuccessful, then the price may return to 1.0470 or even overcome the high on November 15 to form a divergence.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movements of the EUR/GBP Cross Currency Pair November 21, 2022



On the 4 hour chart EUR/GBP cross Currency pair seems to appear.

1. Deviations between price movements with the CCI indicator.
2. Ascending Broadening Wedge.
3. Bearish Wolve Waves

Based on the three information above it can be confirmed that in the near future EUR/GBP will try to get down below the level 0,8689 where if this level successfully penetrated will potentially bring EUR/GBP down to ETA Line from Wolve Waves and/or to the level 0,8589 as a target that will aim for with a note that if on his way to these levels there is no upward correction movement that penetrates above the 0.8775 level because if this level is successfully broken above, it is very likely that the scenario described previously will potentially become invalid.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movements of the EUR/GBP Cross Currency Pair November 21, 2022

Yesterday, China reported a sharp rise in Covid cases in Beijing, and the return of social restrictions and isolation in several areas in the country. Oil rebounds and stock indices started to decline on risks regarding the collapse of new (after FTX) cryptocurrency platforms (Genesis). Against this backdrop, the euro fell in price by 0.80%.



This morning, the euro is approaching support at 1.0205. The price may correct just a bit, as the Marlin oscillator has a margin to the zero line on the daily chart - up to the limit of the declining territory, and may try to turn up without leaving this area. The bears' success, however, would open the 1.0100/20 target range. The price has settled under the MACD indicator line on the four-hour chart. The Marlin oscillator is in negative territory, in the area where the direction is downward.

These circumstances increase the probability of the attempt to overcome 1.0205. The immediate objective is to settle under 1.0205. Support is technically strong, preliminary price consolidation is likely.



*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movements of Commodity Currency Pairs, NZD/USD Wednesday, November 23, 2022



On the 4 hour chart kiwi shows that hidden deviations appear between price movements and the CCI indicator which confirms if in the near future NZD/USD will have the potential to rally upwards to the nearest liquidity gathering place, namely in the Equal High area, namely at the level of 0.6201 but if the CCI level drops below the level 0 and/or level 0.6962 is exceeded, it is very likely for the scenario described earlier cancel by itself.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Elliott wave analysis of EUR/USD for November 24, 2022



The minor correction from 1.0482 has reached its corrective target at 1.0222 and the pair is ready to resume the underlying impulsive rally higher through resistance at 1.0482 for a rally towards 1.0784 and 1.0927 as the next upside targets.

In the longer term, we are looking for much higher levels here as we see the major corrective decline from 1.6038 as completed at 0.9536. A new major impulsive rally that ultimately will take us back above 1.6038 is unfolding. This of course will not be in a straight line, but in the next years, the trend will be up.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Future interest rate reductions by the Bank of England are also possible.



Currently, the Bank of England is a "dark horse." It is difficult to predict how much longer the British regulator will raise its rate, even though it is doing so slower than the Fed and the ECB. It decided to increase the rate by 75 basis points at the most recent meeting, a record increase over the previous 12 to 13 years and the first increase during the current tightening monetary policy cycle. Although the Bank of England rate has already increased to 3%, inflation in the UK is still rising, and there are currently no signs that it will slow down. One could anticipate at least a slight slowdown in the consumer price index with such a rate value, but keep in mind that there is a "time lag" that could take up to 3–4 months for the economy to fully adjust to the most recent (and subsequent) PEPP tightenings.

Inflation in the UK may therefore start to slow down soon, but I believe it will only be able to disappear at a 3% rate, even below the 10% threshold. It increased to 11.1% in October, and Andrew Bailey recently predicted that the peak value might reach 13% or 15%. The fact that British inflation has yet to display any discernible slowdown that would be considered the start of a fall is a major disadvantage. Based on this, it can be assumed that the Bank of England's relatively high rate is already impacting the economy and inflation. However, no one can say with certainty how significant this impact is. There may be an impact, but it is probably insignificant in light of the factors that drive monthly price increases. A 3% rate may only stop prices from increasing even more quickly. Since I cannot respond, it is too early to discuss the Bank of England's final interest rate.

In light of the current situation, the regulator should increase the rate by 75 basis points at least twice more, bringing it to 4.5%. After that, he can follow the Fed's lead and raise the rate gradually while he waits for inflation to respond to three or four rounds of extremely strict PEPP tightening. However, given the current state of the British economy, analysts now have serious doubts about the Bank of England's ability to take such actions. According to Andrew Bailey, the recession "has already begun" and at the same time "has just begun" due to the most recent GDP report for the third quarter showing a contraction. It can last for up to two years (assuming no further economic shocks), and it is difficult to predict how much the British GDP will decline due to high rates.

According to Dave Ramsden, the deputy governor of the Bank of England, it is imperative to respond to the state of the British economy. If things continue to go poorly, it will be prudent to lower the rate to prevent making the already challenging financial situation for households even worse. The objective of bringing inflation back to 2% remains the same, but the Bank of England will need to monitor economic expansion.

The construction of a new downward trend segment is predicated on the wave pattern of the pound/dollar instrument. I cannot suggest purchasing the instrument immediately because the wave marking already permits the development of a downward trend section. Sales are more accurate now that the targets are close to the 200.0% Fibonacci level.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on November 28, 2022

Last Friday, the euro touched the lower shadow of the support at 1.0360, this morning it did the same thing. The price needs to settle under this level so it can reach 1.0205, and it will form a double top on the daily chart. But the price is not in a hurry to do so. Therefore, if today closes with a white candle, then there is a high probability of a breakout of 1.0470 and a divergence may form with the Marlin oscillator.



The situation on the weekly chart contributes to the divergence option - here we see that the MACD indicator line still hasn't been reached. But whether it will be reached or not, remains an intrigue.



On the four-hour chart, the price crossed the MACD line on the descending Marlin oscillator. There was a similar transition on Friday, it was not reliable. Now, when the Marlin oscillator is involved, the price has a chance of settling under 1.0360. Watch the situation, for a signal for a short-term growth or a medium-term fall.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex.

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