Equity Down, Oil Prices Up
27/03/2015
Oil prices continue to rise due to the military action started by a coalition of countries in Yemen. This, however, had no bearing on equity rates – world major indices closed in the red yesterday.
As such in Europe, the British FTSE 100 dropped 1.37 percent down to 6,895.33 points, the German DAX shed 0.18 percent down to 11,843.68 points, and the French CAC 40 fell 0.29 percent finishing the trading session at 5,006.35 points.
Russia’s indices also posted a drop – the MICEX index declined by 1.08 percent down to 1,581.84 points while the RTS index fell 1.52 percent to 868.62 points.
In the USA, the Dow Jones shed 0.23 percent getting to 17,678.23 points, the S&P 500 dropped 0.24 percent to 2,056.15 points, and the NASDAQ fell 0.27 percent down to 4,863.36 points.
The NYMEX price of futures for WTI oil for May rose by $2.07 and made $51.28 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the price of May futures for oil of mark Brent went up by $2.51 and reached $58.99 a barrel.
On the global Forex market, EUR/USD has come to a halt as expected. At this point, it’s better to take a break and not enter the market.
Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst
Generalized Forex Forecast for 30 March - 3 April 2015
Generalizing the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies and forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, we have to mention that, according to the “open hands” symbol in the table, more than a third of the analysts are at a loss. However, the remaining experts are much more unanimous in their predictions than before:
- the forecast for EUR/USD remains the same – downwards trying to reach 1.0000 at least by the end of April. This week the pair may fall to around 1.0600-1.0750 where it will stabilize for some time;
- almost the same can be expected from the British Pound – most analysts predict GBP/USD would fall to 1.4700;
- as for USD/JPY, the forecasts of the analysts and of the indicators are contradictory. Yet, the pair is very likely to be in a bullish trend and try to conquer 120.50;
- just like last week, the USD/CHF chart may resemble that one of USD/JPY. In any case, all analysts expect USD/CHF to return to 1.0000. However, the forecast for this week is a bit more modest – a rise to 0.9750 or somewhat higher to 0.9800.
As for last week’s forecast:
- when predicting EUR/USD’s behaviour, we didn’t rule out a further short-term upward trend to around 1.0915-1.1040, after which everything was supposed to get back to normal. As expected, the pair quickly went up to 1.1030, entered a sideways trend, remaining strictly in the set bounds, and then predictably returned to the level of the beginning of the week;
- the forecast for GBP/USD was also confirmed – the pair stayed in the sideways corridor under bearish influence all week long;
- the predicted fall of USD/JPY got prolonged, and the pair started to recover its losses only last Thursday managing to rise just to the average level of February by the end of the week;
- a rare event occurred with the USD/CHF weekly chart basically repeating the USD/JPY chart, which overall matches the first scenario we suggested – at first the pair moves strictly downwards and then strictly upwards. With this, the upward movement doesn’t look too convincing so far and needs to be upheld this week.
Roman Butko, NordFX
http://s11.postimg.org/ozfvi3e37/For...r_3_Apr_15.png
Euro Falls, Indices Go Up
31.03.2015 07:00 GMT
Yesterday the world’s equity markets closed on the rise. In Europe, Britain’s FTSE 100 grew 0.53 percent up to 6,891.43 points, Germany’s DAX advanced 1.83 percent up to 12,086.01 points, and France’s CAC 40 gained 0.98 percent up to 5,083.52 points.
On Russia’s floors, the MICEX index shot up by 2.52 percent making 1,611.22 points, and the RTS index advanced 2.5 percent up to 877.85 points.
In the USA, the Dow Jones grew 1.49 percent up to 17,976.31 points, the S&P 500 added 1.22 percent reaching 2,086.24 points, and the NASDAQ gained 1.15 percent up to 4,947.44 points.
Oil prices, however, continued to decline yesterday. The NYMEX price of WTI oil futures for May dropped by $0.19 and got to $48.68 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the price of Brent oil futures for May delivery fell by $0.12 and reached $56.29 a barrel.
On the Forex market, EUR/USD went down a little. Now the pair has quite a decent range for correction: 1.05-1.0960. The current decrease may extend to 1.0640.
Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst