EURUSD

The Euro extends near-term recovery off Friday’s fresh low at 1.0915, taking a breather of larger downmove from 1.1434, 18 June top. Rally accelerated above daily 10SMA and Ichimoku cloud top at 1.11 and Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.1434/1.0915 downleg at 1.1113, after triggering series of stops, with positive news coming from China and hopes for solution of Greek problem, giving boost to the single currency’s near-term action. However, daily structure remains weak and sees risk of recovery stall and fresh leg lower. Extension above the first pivot at 1.1187, daily 20SMA, is required to sideline existing downside risk and signal reversal. Key near-term barrier lies at 1.1276, lower top of 29 June. On the downside, 1.11 marks initial support, ahead of 1.1040 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of recovery rally from 1.0915 / hourly higher low and 1.1026, daily 100SMA, loss of which will be bearish.

Res: 1.1028; 1.1057; 1.1077; 1.1096
Sup: 1.1100; 1.1061; 1.1043; 1.1026






GBPUSD


Cable maintains bearish near-term tone, as the price eventually broke and closed below pivotal daily Ichimoku cloud top and 200SMA at 1.5440. Yesterday’s acceleration lower met initial target at 1.5348, Fibonacci 76.4% of 1.5168/1.5928 rally and posted fresh low at 1.5327. Near-term price action bounces in corrective move on oversold near-term studies, with limited upside action seen, as overall picture remains firmly bearish and looks for final stretch towards short-term target at 1.5168, low of 01 June, for completion of 1.5168/1.5928 upleg. Former breakpoint at 1.5440, now acts as initial resistance, ahead of yesterday’s high at 1.5465 and Tuesday’s intraday high at 1.5484, levels that mark the mid-point zone of 1.5626/1.5327 downleg and expected to ideally cap recovery attempts.

Res: 1.5440; 1.5465; 1.5484; 1.5580
Sup: 1.5356; 1.5327; 1.5300; 1.5250








USDJPY


The pair trades in near-term recovery rally from 120.39, fresh low, posted on yesterday’s strong acceleration lower. Yesterday’s move that left long red daily candle, gave strong bearish signal, after the fall took out all supports en-route, Fibonacci 61.8% at 121.53, daily 100SMA at 121 and Fibonacci 76.4% at 120.52. Psychological 120 support is now eyed, with full retracement of 118.87/125.84 rally, not ruled out. Near-term rally on short-covering action, is underpinned by relief rally of Chinese stocks, however, prevailing bearish tone on all timeframes, sees limited upside action. Daily Ichimoku cloud base at 121.67, also near Fibonacci 61.8% of yesterday’s fall, marks pivotal resistance and is seen as ideal reversal point. Otherwise, expect extended recovery towards psychological 122 barrier and daily cloud top at 122.29, break of which to neutralize near-term bears.

Res: 121.67; 122.00; 122.29; 122.55
Sup: 121.04; 120.57; 120.39; 120.00








AUDUSD
The pair trades in near-term recovery mode, after posting fresh 6-year low at 0.7370, on yesterday’s extension of larger downtrend. However, yesterday’s daily candle with long lower shadow, gave initial positive signal, as buying interest increases. Today’s fresh bullish acceleration was supported by positive news from Chine, but recovery rally, so far looks like correction on oversold conditions and is expected to precede fresh leg lower. Former breakpoint at 0.7531, low of 02 Apr and floor of short-term 0.7531/0.8161 consolidation, marks initial barrier and is expected to ideally cap, while break here is expected to extend correction and open next significant barrier at 0.7600, floor of former near-term 0.7600/0.7847 consolidation and near 50% of 0.7847/0.7370 downleg
Res: 0.7500; 0.7531; 0.7600; 0.7665
Sup: 0.7448; 0.7400; 0.7370; 0.7350