EUR/USD


The Euro held within tight range during the Asian session, holding below 1.3100 barrier, despite 30-pips gap higher weekly opening. Bounce of recent range bottom at 1.3000 was rejected at 1.3125, Fib 61.8% of 1.3200/1.3000 descend, with Friday’s fall and close below 1.3100, keeping the downside vulnerable. Near-term studies are negatively aligned, as the price was unable to clear 20 day EMA. Immediate support lays at 1.3045, Fri/Thu lows and break lower to re-focus psychological 1.3000, key near-term support. Formation of diamond pattern on a daily chart, signals reversal that requires break below 1.3000 and 1.2972, 50% retracement of 1.2744/1.3200 ascend, to be confirmed. Any bounce through 1.3100/25, would improve near-term structure, however, clearance of 1.3200 would bring bulls fully in play.


Res: 1.3083, 1.3100, 1.3125, 1.3150
Sup: 1.3045, 1.3025, 1.3000, 1.2972










GBP/USD

Cable ended the week under heavy pressure, with negative fundamentals triggering sharp fall. Losses extended overnight and tested near-term base at 1.5200 zone, signaling further weakness. Immediate target and strong support lays at 1.5175, Fib 61.8% of 1.5032/1.5410 rally / daily Ichimoku cloud base, with negative tone on the lower timeframes and double-top left at 1.5380, last week’s highs, supporting the notion. Bearish 20/55 day EMA’s crossover at 1.5280 zone, keeps the upside limited for now

Res: 1.5244, 1.5265, 1.5284, 1.5300
Sup: 1.5200, 1.5175, 1.5121, 1.5100








USD/JPY


The pair flirts with psychological 100.00 barrier again, as strong bounce of last week’s correction low at 95.80, extended close to 100.00. The barrier is strong, as previous attempt here failed and overbought hourly studies suggest hesitation. Indicators on 4h chart, however, see room for test and break above 100.00 barrier, to open next significant barrier at 101.43, Apr 2009 high. Corrective dips should be contained by 99.00/98.50 support zone, to keep near-term bulls intact.

Res: 99.87, 99.93, 100.00, 100.50
Sup: 99.50, 99.33, 99.00, 98.50










AUD/USD

The pair remains under pressure at the beginning of the weeks, continuing broader weakness, sparked on upside rejection at 1.0581 on 11 Apr. Marginally fresh low at 1.0265 was posted overnight, with near-term bears being firmly in play and price being limited by descending 20 day EMA. As daily studies broke in the negative territory, further weakness towards 1.0224/00, Fib 76.4% of 1.0114/1.0581 / round figure support, could be anticipated. Any corrective action faces solid resistance at 1.0357, last Friday’s high, while penetration through 1.0400 barrier, is requires to ease immediate bear-pressure.

Res: 1.0300, 1.0336, 1.0357, 1.0400
Sup: 1.0265, 1.0224, 1.0200, 1.0114