Thread: Forex daily News FBS

Weekly Cryptonews

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26.04.2019

Zooko Wilcox, Zcash founder: “In ten years, nobody is going to say, ‘Oh that’s a privacy coin.’ They’re going to say, ‘Oh, that’s a normal coin that you can use for all normal business anywhere in the world.’ Just like how today we don’t say, ‘Oh HTTPS, this must be a privacy website and I must be using a privacy browser.”

On Tuesday, the oldest cryptocurrency bounced from the resistance at $5,636 and fell in the direction of the support at $5,385. The wave of shock has come to the crypto community on Friday after the reports that Bitfinex exchange utilized illegal transactions to cover up $850 million in Tether that were missing. According to the investigation of the New York Attorney General’s office, the missing funds were removed from the USDT reserves and the loss was never revealed to investors. The price for Bitcoin has fallen sharply on the news and tested the ground below the $5,245 level. At the moment of writing (12:50 MT), it is trading near the support at $5,385. On the downside, the strong bearish pressure may pull the price for the digital asset below this level to the next support at $5,245. On the upside, if bulls take over the market, they will target the resistance at $5,636. If this level is broken, the next resistance will lie at $6,184.

If we look at indicators, MACD formed lower highs, which signals a potential reversal to the downside.



New announces:

British online banking Wirex will release 26 stablecoins backed by different fiat currencies on the Stellar blockchain.
The subsidiary of the French financial conglomerate Societe Generale released tokenized shares with the cost of 100 million euro on the Ethereum blockchain.
The Moon startup launched a service for buying goods on Amazon with BTC, LTC, and ETH. You need a Lightning-wallet to do this.
220 banks joined the blockchain payment system Interbank Information Network by JPMorgan.
Samsung invests $2.9 million into crypto startup Ledger.
Yelp introduced a new search tag that allows users to tag and search vendors who accept cryptocurrency for payment.

Current prices (last update 13:14 MT time)

Bitcoin $5,411

DASH $113.84

Ethereum $158.73

Litecoin: $74.31

5 important events this week will bring us!

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29.04.2019

Canadian GDP growth (Tue, 15:30 MT) – If the indicator outperforms the forecasts, the loonie will get boosted.

Jobs data for New Zealand (Wed, 01:45 MT) – Analysts anticipate the level of employment change to increase by 0.5%. As for the unemployment rate, it is projected to decline to 4.2%. Higher figures for the employment change and lower for the unemployment rate will be positive for the NZD.

FOMC statement (Wed, 21:00 MT) – The Federal Reserve will keep its interest rate unchanged at 2.5%. Traders need to pay attention to the tone of the statement and comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell. If they are hawkish, the USD will be supported.

BOE monetary policy summary (Thu, 14:00 MT) – The Bank of England’s future steps have been covered with the Brexit fog after the previous meeting, that is why any supportive comments by the BOE governor will be good for the GBP.

NFP (Fri, 15:30 MT) - The most anticipated indicator will advance by 181 thousand payrolls, according to forecasts. If the actual level is higher, the USD will rise.

Hot topics:

The US-China trade talks will continue this week on April 30 in Beijing. According to the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, the sides are heading close to the final agreement. However, the key issues including intellectual property and forced technology transfer are still unresolved. Positive progress in these negotiations will increase the risk-on sentiment in the market.

Oil fell after the demand of US president Donald Trump to raise the output to soften the impact of the American sanctions against Iran.

Theresa May tries to find a way to secure the Brexit deal before the EU elections on May 23. Reportedly, the government is not ready to have another vote for the deal in Parliament this week.

Evergreen buck goes down for the third day

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30.04.2019

On Tuesday, the evergreen buck went down versus key counterparts, slumping for a third day in a row because signs of decelerating inflation cemented market hopes that the Fed will have its rates cut in 2019.

Gauging the greenback’s purchasing power against its primary peers the USD index headed south by about 0.3% showing 97.34.

On Tuesday, policymakers started a two-day gathering, widely anticipated to bring no changes to interest rates when the decision is revealed a day later.

In 2019, the major US bank changed its tune because fears over global surge as well as poor inflation made it retreat from previous estimates that it would lift rates twice this year and also be patient enough with further tightening.

However, financial markets have gone further, pricing in over a 60% likelihood that the major US bank will have interest rates cut in December.

Last Friday, the evergreen buck started its current stretch of dives against the backdrop of signs of decreasing price pressures. Additionally, inflation data uncovered with first-quarter surge numbers the previous week as well as the core personal consumption expenditures price index for March have seen the greenback rebound from near two-year maximums.

The currency pair rallied versus the evergreen buck because better-than-anticipated economic surge in the euro zone backed the euro.

Furthermore, cable was boosted on reports that cross-party negotiations between ruling Conservatives as well as the opposition Labour Party over Brexit, and Britain’s departure from the EU is demonstrating decent progress.

Tokyo markets are unavailable this week for a holiday that experts tell exacerbate volatility because of the lack of liquidity, although the Japanese yen still managed to go up to three-week maximums.

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American futures rally as traders cheer Apple’s outcomes

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01.05.2019

On Wednesday, American stock index futures went up, pointing to a firm start for Wall Street due to the fact that Apple’s stellar outcomes and forecast soothed worries about the decelerating surge in corporate gains.

Stocks of the iPhone maker leapt by 5.8% right after it told that sales in China were stabilizing and also touted how soaring demand for its services as well as accessories helped to compensate a record dive in iPhone profit.

Besides this, the company also uncovered plans for another $75 billion share buyback and had its cash dividend ramped up by 5%.

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 index demonstrated another record maximum as well as its best four-month surge for almost nine years.

Experts are quite optimistic on first-quarter earnings surge and expect a 0.7% leap in contrast with a 2% dive estimated at the beginning of April.

Aside from a mostly better-than-anticipated earnings season, recent profits in stocks have also been driven by upbeat economic reports, a dovish Fed as well as hints of progress in US-China trade negotiations.

Additionally, the major US bank, which will conclude its two-day gathering later in the day, is generally anticipated to keep borrowing costs intact and stick with a cautious monetary policy stance, notwithstanding Donald Trump's call to decrease interest rates.

ET, Dow e-minis ascended by 0.27%. As for S&P 500 e-minis, it soared by 0.29%, while Nasdaq 100 e-minis rallied by 0.66%.

Among other shares, Advanced Micro Devices Inc headed north by 5.1% because the chipmaker's quarterly gain beat Wall Street estimates as it managed to sell more chips in servers and data centers. Other chip stocks rallied too, with Micron Technology Inc, Qualcomm, and Nvidia Corp soaring 1%-1.6%.

Yellow metal inches down on potential trade agreement

More at: http://bit.ly/2UX1xY2

02.05.2019

On Thursday, gold headed south, just a day after the major US bank stood pat on monetary policy and also hinted that interest rates would probably stand still for a longer period.

On the Comex exchange, June delivery gold futures headed south by about 0.7% concluding the trading session at $1,275.15 an ounce.

In a news conference, which followed Fed gathering, Fed Chair Jerome Powell told that Fed stance is quite adequate at the moment and they don’t see any reasons to move in either direction.

As for trade volumes, they were still thin due to the fact, financial markets in China and Japan were unavailable because of holidays.

Moving in directions opposite to the yellow commodity and estimating the purchasing power of the greenback versus a number of its main rivals the USD index headed south by 0.1% ending up with 97.338.

In addition to this, a report posted by CNBC, which came up with a suggestion that China and the United States might announce a trade agreement next Friday also underpinned risk sentiment and put pressure on the yellow metal.

Besides this, another round of trade negotiations between China and the United States wrapped up in China’s capital on Wednesday with the American Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin calling those meetings quite fruitful.

Next week the everlasting trade talks will proceed in Washington. As follows from a number of anonymous sources, the two leading economies might manage to come to a compromise already by next Friday.

In addition to this, the evergreen buck tacked on a bit versus the Japanese yen, and also dived a bit against the New Zealand and Australian dollars.

Bitcoin overleaps $5,500

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03.05.2019

On Friday, key digital coins gained momentum in Asia, with Bitcoin rallying above the major mark $5,500. Facebook is reportedly looking for partners for its scheduled cryptocurrency payment service.

Eventually, Bitcoin headed north by up to 6.08% coming up with a reading of $5,581.5, hitting a one-week maximum. The digital token rebounded to the $5,500 mark having lost its grip on it on April 24.

In addition to this, Ethereum surged by 3.32% being worth $160.38, while XRP managed to tack on by up to 0.18% concluding the trading session at $0.30446. Besides this, Litecoinrose surged by nearly 7.23% reaching $74.698.

The overall market capitalization went up further to $179.6 billion from yesterday’s reading of $175 million.

The biggest news in the cryptocurrency community today had to do with Facebook as well as its cryptocurrency payment service, which is under development.

The Wall Street Journal informed that the social media giant is negotiation with financial as well as e-commerce businesses, including MasterCard and Visa to back the payment service Project Libra.

The project suggests launching a digital token, which would be backed by blockchain technology and also pegged to the evergreen buck. An upbeat way to promote its adoption is that Facebook users are able to acquire fractions of the token by simply viewing ads. Moreover, users of Facebook’s messaging application WhatsApp can also utilize this crypto token to transfer funds to one another.

Moreover, an independent nonprofit institute, the Information Technology & Innovation Foundation came up with suggestions on how to regulate blockchain technology that attracted some attention among cryptocurrency traders.

By the way, ITIF urged the policymakers to uphold such principles as technology neutrality as well as public-sector adoption.

Trading plan for May 6

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06.05.2019

Pay attention to the market sentiment today!

During the Asian trading hours, the risk sentiment in the market was covered in red after the tweet by US president Donald Trump. He said that US tariffs on 200 billion of Chinese goods will go up from 10% to 25%. This news created rumors about the possible delay of the trade negotiations between the US and China and pulled the risk-weighted assets down. At the same time, the safe-haven Japanese yen gained significantly.

Later, China expressed hopes that the negotiations will continue in Washington. The Chinese part confirmed the preparation of the delegation to the US for further talks. It helped the risk sentiment to recover a little bit. For how long, though?

If Mr. Trump surprises us with more negative comments or China cancels its delegation for further talks on May 8, the risk aversion will appear and pull the risky assets down.


On the daily chart of the AUD/USD pair, it has fallen below the weekly pivot support at 0.6980 but managed to recover towards the resistance at the weekly pivot at 0.7024. If the risk-off sentiment takes over the market, the pair will fall below the 0.6980 level towards the next support at 0.6940. If we look at indicators, Parabolic SAR shows the downward movement for the pair, ADX demonstrates that bearish pressure continues and RSI is placed close to the oversold zone. If it enters this zone and then leaves it, it will provide us a short-term buying opportunity.


On the H4, the pair could not overcome the support at 0.6963 and formed an inverted hammer candlestick – a sign of a bullish reversal. At the moment the aussie is targeting the resistance at 0.7. If bulls break this level, the next key resistance will be placed at 0.7024. On the flipside, if the sellers take over the market, they will pull the pair to the support at the weekly pivot at 0.6980. The next support lies at 0.6963.

USD/JPY

The risk aversion resulted in the gap down day for the USD/JPY pair. It has even tested the ground below the weekly pivot support at 110.50. At the moment, USD/JPY is trading near the 100-day SMA and the resistance at the weekly pivot level at 110.79. If bulls are strong, they will break this level and the next resistances will be placed at 110.93 and 111.05. On the other hand, risk off sentiment will make the pair retest the 110.50 level. The next support will lie at 109.94. Parabolic SAR here demonstrates the downward movement, while ADX shows the strength of bears.


Let’s look at the H4. The pair could not stick above the 110.79 level for too long as bears pulled it back to the support at 110.64. If the sentiment in the market is positive, USD/JPY will retest the resistance at 110.79. The next resistance in focus lies at 110.93. Alternatively, we will see a fall towards the support at 110.64. The break of this level will pull the pair lower to the support at 110.64.

Turkish lira goes down

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07.05.2019

Turkey is making its way towards another currency downtime, with the Turkish lira diving to its lowest value for almost a year after Turkey’s election authorities canceled the recent municipal election outcomes for Istanbul.

The decision provoked immediate street riots in Turkey’s largest city against the cabinet of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and pushed the evergreen buck to 6.1976 lira in early trade on Tuesday. It appears to be the highest value since last September, when soaring dollar interest rates along with a heavy foreign debt repayment schedule threatened to heavily impact Turkey’s banking system.

The major bank had to have interest rates raised steeply to defend the Turkish lira at the time, while the economic hardship since then made a contribution to Erdogan’s AK party losing control of the country’s three key cities in elections in March. What’s more, his critics currently accuse him of utilizing the state machinery to have a legitimate election overturned.

As a matter of fact, the Turkish lira headed south by 2% reacting to the news and has slumped by 1.5% since then. Turkey’s currency was at 6.1707 versus the evergreen buck. For the year, it has rallied by 16.3% against the greenback. The given outcome makes it the worst performing asset of all G-20 currencies, excluding the Argentine peso.

In addition to this, the Australian dollar rebounded steeply after the country’s major bank left its cash rate at 1.5%, thus disappointing many investors who had anticipated a rate cut.

Gauging the greenback’s purchasing potential versus its main peers the USD index hit 97.155, sliding by 0.1%.

Traders are still uncertain what follows from the American decision – whether the US would slap extra duties on Chinese goods or not.

Rate cut by the RBNZ pulled the kiwi down

More at: http://bit.ly/2J5xkot

08.05.2019

During the early Asian trading hours, the Reserve bank of New Zealand surprisingly cut its interest rate from 1.75% to 1.5%. According to the words by the RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr, the bank is currently uncertain about the future path of the interest rates. One of the main reasons behind these uncertainties lie in the US-China trade war and lower figures for business sentiment and consumer spending.

The kiwi plunged below the weekly pivot support at 0.6565 towards the next support at 0.6524. If bearish pressure continues, the next support will lie at 0.65. On the flipside, if the kiwi manages to recover, it will rise above the weekly pivot level at 0.6603. The next resistance is placed at 0.6644.