Thread: Adamant Finance - Daily Analysis

Technical Outlook August 3, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD broke through a month high as we expected. The horizontal level was crossed. You had an opportunity to open long positions according to our recommendations from the MA55 area although this curve was a bit far from the price. Today we expect EUR/USD to continue its growth. Pay attention to the US and Eurozone Services PMIs.

The neutral trend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. EUR/USD closed last week with a strong growth. We expect it to continue this upside tendency this week.

The Hourly chart shows the uptrend as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 area.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD had a growth after an unexpected strong UK construction PMI data. Experts forecasted a great decline. This data may have a significant impact on the Bank of England decision on Thursday during meetings. This Body is expected to cut rates. The situation is still unclear and we advise to avoid trading on the eve of the Bank of England meetings.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD may do some attempts to grow after weak Fridays US Labor Market data.

We still see the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading at the moment as tomorrow the Bank of England is to take an important decision.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD declined for 500 points after the decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia to cut rates. However, the currency pair gained back its lost positions and went on to grow. The total amount of this rally was about 1000 points. We gave you advises to buy AUD/USD. Today the currency pair stopped to grow according to technical indicators.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD crossed the trendline and closed above it last week. We expect it to grow this week.

The trend is neutral on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading.



USDCHF





USD/CHF traded with a decline after a weak Swiss data. Retail sales showed a large decline and PMI indicates a slowdown. There were some opportunities to enter short trades from the MA55, although the price was rather far from the curve. You may try short trades from the MA55 area today.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. USD/CHF ended last week in the negative zone and USD may continue to go down this week.

USD/CHF is in the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the curve.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 3, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





Yesterday’s long trades from the MA55 were successful. Today the price is too far from the balance line that is why we advise to avoid trading. Those who had a chance to open long trades yesterday, may partially fix their positions and place stops at breakeven. We expect XAU/USD to grow up to 1375.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Some factors exert pressure on USD and we expect Gold to continue its growth.

The situation on the Hourly chart is the same as there is the uptrend. The MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to hold your long trades.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Siler is in the uptrend and you could open long trades this moment and enjoy profit. We advise to partially fix your trades and protect the rest. Today’s US data may surprise. That is why we recommend taking part of your profit.

The situation on the Weekly chart is clear as we have the uptrend. The price is above the MA55. Some factors exert pressure on USD and we expect Silver to continue its growth.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to hold your long trades.




Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 4, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD declined to the MA55 during European session offering opportunities to enter long trades. However, the rally was short. You had an opportunity to protect your trades. US PMI and ADP non farm payrolls were better than expected, providing USD with additional support. Finally, USD gained some positions against EUR and CHF. Other currency pairs traded in a tight range. Today We advise to pay attention to GBP.

The neutral trend is progressing on the Weekly chart as the price is moving around the MA55. There was a strong growth in the end of the last week and the upside tendency may continue in the next couple of days.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55 We advise to avoid trading today as the price is far from the balance line



GBPUSD





GBP/USD was in a tight range during yesterday’s sessions awaiting for today’s Bank of England meetings. Investors expect the BOA to cut rates. This fact may evoke another downtrend. We advise to avoid trading before the Monetary Policy Committee pronounces its decision.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. There is a probability of growth after Friday’s US Labor Market data.

Bulls are dominating on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. It is better to avoid trading before the MPC pronounces its decision.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD was in a tight range yesterday awaiting for some important events. Today in the morning the Bulls tried to dominate the market and they were able to gain some positions on the Australian Retail sales data although it was worse than expected. This upside momentum may be the last one before a downtrend although technical indicators still show the probability of further growth.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair crossed the trendline and closed the last week above it. We expect the growth to continue this week.

The Bulls are also dominating on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. The situation is unclear and we advise to avoid trading today.



USDCHF





USD/CHF was in the uptrend during the whole week. We recommended short trades and they were unsuccessful. Stop losses triggered. We think that at the moment a long upside correction is forming. There is one confusing factor – the distance between the MA55 balance line and the price.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. USD is under pressure after Friday’s US Labor Market data.

The Bulls are dominating on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today as the price is far from the balance line.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 4, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD declined on the fears of strong US Labor Market data which is to be published on Friday. Investors fixed their profit. This resulted in a downtrend. Most of long trades seem to be closed. We expect some further price sliding during the day. According to our opinion, the price may target 1346,00 and form a range after.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Some factors exert pressure over USD and we expect further growth of Gold prices.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55. Yesterday’s long trades were closed at breakeven. Our advice to partially fix positions was right. Today we advise to avoid trading.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver is under a stronger pressure than Gold. The downtrend is clear. We could advise to open short trades. However, the decline is too strong and the price reached the lower side of the MA-channel. The risk are too high.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Some factors exert pressure on USD and we expect precious metals to grow in the upcoming couple of days.

The Bears are dominating on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. Today we advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.




Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 5, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD continued to trade close to the balance line offering no opportunities to enter the market. There is a probability of correction towards the MA55 today. If it happens, there will be an opportunity to open trades. However, there is another problem – today’s US Labor Market data. We do not advise to open trades on the eve of this data as there may be tight flat before it. You may try find some opportunities after this data although we are not sure it happens.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. WE have seen a strong growth in the end of the last week. Positive dynamics may continue this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the Ma-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading because of the upcoming important US Labor Market data.



GBPUSD





Yesterday’s Monetary Policy decision meet our expectations as the Bank of England decided to cut rates. The central bank also announced bond buying programme. This decision was even more significant for the market as it was unexpected. This fact resulted in more profound “dive” of GBP/USD. Today the currency pair may continue to fall after the US Labor Market data.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. The currency pair may grow after Friday’s US data.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today because of the upcoming US Labor Market data.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD continues its moderate rally correlating with Oil growth. AUD has got support in time when other currencies are under pressure. We think that this situation is to end very soon. AUD/USD may decline on a significant upside “jump” of USD. This may happen today, e.g. on the US Labor Market data.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD broke through the trendline and closed list week above it. The growth may continue this week.

The Bulls are still dominating on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as market awaits for the important US Labor Market data.



USDCHF





USD/CHF paused its growth on the eve of the important US Labor Market data. This event is the main for USD this week as it may raise expectations of Interest rates increase in USA. USD/CHF may approach to the balance line today. However, we recommend opening long trades only if US Labor Market data is better than expected.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. USD was under pressure in the end of the last week and we expect no changes in the current market situation on the Weekly.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading because of the upcoming US Labor Market data today.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 5, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD touched day’s lows at 1349,00 and resumed its growth after the Bank of England decision to stimulate economic growth by monetary policy easing. We expected Gold to reverse from lower points and we gave no advises. The price is currently in the Tuesday range. It may try to break the range only after the US Labor Market data. We recommend paying much attention to this event.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Further Gold growth is probable as some factors exert pressure on USD.

The trend is neutral on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today because of the Important US Labor Market data.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





XAG/USD declined yesterday, then reversed and reached the MA55 balance line right after the Bank of England decision. We expect the price to fluctuate close to the Balance line until the US Labor Market data which is to be published today in the evening.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Some factors exert pressure on USD. We expect precious metals to continue growth.

The downtrend is clearly seen on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as important US Labor Market data is expected.




Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 8, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD had a sharp decline after a strong US Labor Market data. The most important driver for the USD growth was the number of new jobs created the Average Hourly Earnings. The last one is the sign of inflation growth in future. Inflation growth will make the Fed to increase interest rates which may give an additional support to the USD. The probability of interest rates growth in December increased. This fact may support USD.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. EUR/USD was close to the two trendline cross and then reversed. We expect negative dynamics this week.

The downtrend on the Hourly chart is in progress as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD goes back to the balance line offering some opportunities to open short trades from the MA55.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD continued its decline on the Friday’s US Labor Market data according to our expectations. The downtrend was progressing and you may try open short trades from the upper trendline area as the price may not reach the balance line during such a strong trend.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD tried to grow last week. However, the tendency was broken because of the Bank of England MPC’s decision as well as the US Labor Market data.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the upper trendline, placing stops above it.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD declined on the US Labor Market data according to our expectations. However, this downside tendency was limited and the currency pair may resume the uptrend. This may happen in case of better Australian stats.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair closed last week in the positive area. This positive dynamics may continue this week.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards although the price is below the MA55. We advise to observe fluctuations and avoid trading.



USDCHF





USD/CHF fluctuated according to scenario on the better than expected US Labor Market data. It is better to trade this data only after publication although you may miss the chance to do it. Today we advise to wait until the price goes back to the balance line.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. USD growth may continue this week and we recommend opening long trades.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hurly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. The price goes back to the balance line allowing opening short trades from the MA55 area.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 8, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD had a considerable decline right after the US Labor Market data publication. Two important components (Non-farm payrolls and Average earnings) have shown better than expected results. Earnings growth may have a significant impact on the inflation and this may lead to the interest rates growth this year. Gold lost its positions. The probability of interest rates growth in December increased up to 43%. Today we expect correction.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to break through the trendline may result in further decline towards 1310,00.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. It is better to avoid trading as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver had a considerable decline on a better than expected US Labor Market data. Today we expect some correction. However, investors are bearish towards the precious metals. We expect futher decline this week.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We expect Silver to trade within a range 19,30-20,20.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is close to the lower side of the MA-channel.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 9, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD did not reach the balance line yesterday. There was no opportunity to enter short trades. It is probable that the price will approach the balance line today and there will be an opportunity to open short trades. There is no important data today. However, US stats may influence fluctuations. We expect calm trading without sharp moves.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. Last week EUR/USD reached the cross of two trend lines and reversed downwards. We expect Bears to dominate this week.

The downtrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. EUR/USD goes back to the balance line. If it reaches the MA55, there will be an opportunity to sell from there.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD did not get the upper trendline yesterday to allow short trades. This happened at night and then there was a 600 points rebound. We expect GBP/USD to get back to the upper trendline again. However, if it happens, it will be too risky to enter short trades. We advise to follow British data wich is to be published today.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD tried to grow last week. However, the Bank of England’s MPC decision and strong US Labor Market data reversed the upside tendency.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to sell from the upper trendline area. Place stops at 1,3030/40.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD marked a new month’s high yesterday. The uptrend is still progressing. However, it loses strength. It is very dangerous to open long trades in such a situation. The price may reverse at any moment and lose all positions that it gained within a week.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair closed last week in the positive area. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

The uptrend is clearly seen on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel looks upwards although the price is below the MA55. You may try to open short trades along the ascending trendline awaiting for a sharp downside momentum.



USDCHF





USD/CHF failed to get back to the balance line and the price continues to move higher. We advise to wait until the price goes back to the MA55 balance line and to open long trades there as it is very dangerous to buy at current price. The important Swiss Labor Market data is to be published today. It may give additional support to the currency pair in case of unexpected results.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. USD may continue to grow this week. The long positions are preferable.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. USD/CHF goes back to the balance line and you may try to open short trades from the MA55.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 9, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





Gold traded in a range reaching weekly lows and failed to make an upside correction. Today we expect XAU/USD to resume its downside move. However, we advise to open short trades from the balance line area only.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. If XAU/USD fails to break through the trendline again this week, the price may fall to 1310,00.

The downtrend is clearly seen on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 area.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver traded in flat yesterday. We expected some growth to the 20,00 area. Today another downside momentum is possible. However, we recommend opening shirt trades from the MA55 area only if price reaches it.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We expect XAG/USD to trade within a 19,30-20,20 range.

The Hourly chart shows the downtrend as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short trades form the MA55 area aiming 19,30.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 10, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD rebounded from the MA55 balance line during European session. You could open short trade and even protect your positions. The currency pair reversed during American session as investors moods have changed. We have seen the growth to continue today in the morning and the currency pair moved far away from the balance line.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. We expect the growth to the trendline with further breakthrough.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is far from the balance line.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD approached the upper trendline during European session and offered an opportunity to open short trades. The currency pair moved downwards then allowing you to take about 500 points. It was enough also to protect your trades and take some profit. Today GPB/USD is ready to change its mood and to go upwards. If this happens, you may try long trades. In order to do this, wait until GBP/USD crosses 1,31000.

The downtrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. There was some attempts to grow last week. However, the Bank of England MPC’s decision along with stronger than expected US Labor Market data supported Bears and those attempts were broken.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55. We advise to open long trades only if the price breaks through 1,31000.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD resumed growing, supported by “Allied” currency pairs. Yesterday the currency pair touched new month’s highs. Short trades orders failed to execute. Today we recommend trying to open long trades.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD had some difficulties previously in moving upwards. However, it closed last week in a positive area. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

The uptrend I clearly seen on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to enter long trades from the MA55 balance line



USDCHF





USD/CHF reached back the balance line at night only. There was no sense to enter any position. Today the current tendency may probably change, although there is the breakthrough of the trendline, confirming that the trend is already changed. We advise to open short trades today.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. USD may resume its growth and we recommend opening long trades.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as well as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55. You may try short trades from the MA55 area.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 10, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD reversed upwards in a sharp manner. Short trades from the MA55 were unsuccessful. We have seen a sharp change in trend and the price reached the upper side of the MA-channel. There is no opportunity to buy from the MA55 and we think today this asset is a bad idea for trading.

The uptrend is currently seen on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to cross the trendline is in progress at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading until the situation is clear.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





XAG/USD had some growth as well allowing to open short trades with stops previously. The expected move towards 20,00 was done today in the morning and the price went even higher, confirming the change of tendency.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We expect XAG/USD to trade within a range (19,30-20,20).

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading until the situation is clear.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 11, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD resumed its aggressive growth yesterday, offering no opportunities to open positions. This sharp USD decline is due to productivity data, published previously. This macroeconomic indicator continues to fall since the beginning of the year. The most important US data is to be published tomorrow and we expect EUR/USD to correct after yesterday’s rally.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. The currency pair may grow towards the trendline and even try to cross it.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading as the price is already too far from the MA55 balance line.



GBPUSD





There was no reverse of GBP/USD as the currency pair did not cross the 1,31000 level. The downtrend is in progress, although it is limited due to the weakness of USD. Today we expect GBP/USD to further decline and we advise to open short trades.

The downtrend is progressing on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD tried to grow last week before the Bank of England meetings. However, the MPC’s decision had broken Bulls’ plans and the downtrend resumed.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from the MA55 balance line.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD reached its Weekly chart goals and may start correction and even lose some positions in the next couple of days. The current currency pair position is good for long trades. However, it is too risky to buy at the moment as the Weekly chart goals are already done.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair closed last week in the positive area. However, the situation was unclear. We expect this positive dynamics to continue this week.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading and to follow the situation.



USDCHF





USD/CHF was unable to reach the balance line yesterday and offered no opportunities to enter short trades. The change in tendency was very aggressive and there was only not a single chance to open positions. The price is still too far from the balance line to sell. We advise to avoid trading.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. The sharp change in trend on the Hourly chart tells us about a correctional nature of the whole week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the Ma-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 11, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD is unable to breakthrough new levels on the Weekly chart. Gold is not ready to resume growth. The US Retail Sales data which is to be published tomorrow may influence USD. We expect another attempts to break through the next level on the Weekly chart. There is a downside pattern on the chart today and we advise to avoid long trades.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to break through the trendline is in progress at the moment.

There is the uptrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver is forming a correction during this week. However the US Retail Sales data tomorrow may change the things and the price may start to grow towards new weekly highs. There is a correction at the moment and we expect no activity today.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD may stay within the range (19,30-20,40).

The Hourly chart shows the uptrend as well as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 12, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD traded in ascending direction during yesterday’s sessions. An important US data is to be published today. It may influence expectations on future Interest Rates increase. It is to notice, that on the eve of this important US data expectations on Rates increase during this year grew up to 50%.

The neutral trend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. There is a probability of growth towards the trendline with further attempts to break it through.

The uptrend is progressing on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards although the price is below the MA55. We advise to open trades only after US data. We also recommend opening short trades on strong US data and vice versa. You may trade from the MA55 balance line as well.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD offered some opportunities to open short trades yesterday from the MA55. The price went down for more than 600 pips. The currency pair dynamics depends on the US Retail Sales data today.

There is the downtrend on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. GBP/USD attempted to reverse last week. However, the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee’s decision and US data provoked the downside tendency.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open trades only after the US data. You may try to open short trades on strong US Retail Sales stats and vice versa. You may also trade from the MA55 balance line.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD slides down and long trades have no reason. However, the MA-channel still indicated the uptrend. The currency pair dynamics today will mostly depend on the US Retail Sales data.

There is still the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. AUD/USD closed last week in a positive area. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks upwards although the price is below the MA55. We advise to trade after the US Retail Sales data today. Open short trades if this data is stronger than expected and vice versa. You may also open trades from the MA55 area.



USDCHF





USD/CHF goes back to the MA55 balance line creating some good potential for evening fluctuations. The direction of those fluctuations depends on the evening US Retail Sales data.

There is still no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. A sharp change in tendency on the Hourly chart indicated a correction.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open trades after the US Retail data only. If it is better than expected, you may open short trades and vice versa. You may also open trades from the MA55.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 12, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD declined according to our expectations although there was no change in trend. The pattern that we have seen yesterday in the morning was not bullish and we gave no advises. We did not make any recommendations to open short trades as you may see yesterday’s dynamics. Investors will pay attention to today’s US Retail Sales data and choose the direction according to its results.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We can see another attempt to break through the trendline.

The neutral trend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is below the MA55. We advise to trade only after US Retail Sales data today. If it is stronger than expected, open short positions and vice versa.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver is in correction and investors wait for today’s US Retail Sales data. Its results may (if it is worse than expected) may influence growth towards new highs on the Weekly chart.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We expect some range trading within 19,30-20,40.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to trade after US Retail Sales data only. If it is stronger than expected, you may open short trades and vice versa.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 15, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD had a sharp upside momentum after worse than expected US Retail Sales data. You could try to open long trades according to our recommendations. Those news could bring traders about 400 pips. However, after Fed member’s Williams speech, investors were persuaded that FOMC is to raise rates again this year. He told, that the Fed has to increase interest rates this year as it will do no harm to the US economy growth.

This week we recommend paying attention to the FOMC meeting minutes which are to be published on Wednesday.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. Trendline resisted Bulls’ attack and we expect some price decline this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55. We recommend opening short positions from the MA55 area today..



GBPUSD





GBP/USD traded in both directions and you could earn about 500 pips after the US Retail Sales data. US statistics was worse than expected. We advise to pay attention to the UK Labor market, Retail Sales as well as CPI y/y data this week. Those stats may have a considerable impact on the GPB/USD fluctuations.

The downtrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. The currency pair continues its downside tendency.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. WE advise to open short trades from the MA55 area.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD grew on the US Retail Sales data. However, it declined a bit later. You could earn some pips on the growth. The later decline was due to the statements of the US Fed members. The currency pair may decline further on the FOMC meeting minutes.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair reached the main trendline and went down. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from the MA55 area.



USDCHF





USD/CHF went down after the US Retail Sales data but restored. Today we recommend paying attention to the market crowd moods. We expect some growth according to EUR/USD fluctuations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is fluctuating around the MA55. Last week’s fluctuations were according to our expectations. We think that this week USD/CHF will show the opposite image.

There is the neutral on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to avoid trading today.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com




Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 15, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD grew sharply on a worse than expected USD Retail Sales data. You could open long trades according to our recommendations. US Retail Sales remained without changes. Bloomberg analysts expected them to grow up to 0,5%.

Further on Friday Gold declined on the statements of Fed member Williams. He said that FOMC has to raise rates this year and this step will not harm the US economic growth. Those words returned optimism and this USD positive dynamics may continue this week. In addition, those statements may find support in the FOMC meeting minutes, which are to be published on Wednesday.

The uptrend is progressing on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. We have seen another attempt to break through the trendline that failed. We expect some retreat this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from the MA55 area.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





Silver had the same dynamics as Gold on Friday and grew up after a worse than expected US Retail Sales data. Further in the evening XAG/USD lost almost all gained positions and even went lower after the Fed member’s Williams speech on the prospective of US Interest growth this year.

The uptrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD traded within a 19,30-20,40 range as we expected. This week XAG/USD may decline towards lower side of the range and even break it through.

The downtrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades from the MA55 area.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/

Technical Outlook August 16, 2016



EURUSD





EUR/USD changed its direction to the upside which may result in losses in case if you have opened short trades from the MA55. Friday’s Retail Sales data gave stronger effect to USD than Fed member Williams’ speech. There is a lot of EU and US releases today and we expect the volatility to grow.

The neutral trend holds its positions on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. Trendline held some previous attacks and the price may decline this week.

The uptrend is in progress on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes upwards and the price is above the MA55. We advise to try long trades from 1,11850.



GBPUSD





GBP/USD declined for about 600 pips yesterday and you could open short trades from the MA55. There is an important UK CPI data today and the decline may accelerate. The currency pair bounced from the lower trendline. However, there is still the probability of retest.

The downtrend is still in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is below the MA55. The currency pair continues its downside tendency.

As for the Hourly chart, we may see the downtrend here as well as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is below the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from the MA55 area.



AUDUSD





AUD/USD approached to the MA55 yesterday during European session allowing traders to sell. However, further decline was short offering not more than 200 pips. Those, who opened trades had an opportunity to protect their positions by moving stops to the opening level. The last RBA meetings minutes were released today and there was nothing new to pay attention to.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. The currency pair has done all its goals (reached the trendline) and went down after. We expect this dynamics to continue this week.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel goes downwards and the price is close to the MA55. We recommend opening short trades from 0,76900.



USDCHF





USD/CHF formed a downside pattern and we advise to search for short trades only when the price crosses 0,97000/0,97100. The MA-channel changed its direction to downside confirming our expectations.

There is no trend on the Weekly chart as the price is balancing around the MA55. We expect current week’s fluctuations to be opposite to the last ones.

There is the downtrend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel looks downwards and the price is below the MA55. We advise to open short trades when the price crosses 0,97000/0,97100.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com



Gold/Silver Technical Outlook August 16, 2016



GOLD (XAUUSD)





XAU/USD tries again to cross the trendline on the Weekly chart and this time it may succeed. There is a lot of macroeconomic events today and this breakthrough may happen within the upcoming 24 hours. The main event to pay attention is US CPI data.

The uptrend is in progress on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. Another attempt to break through the trendline failed. We expect some correction this week.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the Ma-channel is horizontal and the price is above the MA55. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 area.



SILVER (XAGUSD)





XAG/USD did a correctional growth yesterday. Today we expect the rise to accelerate especially if US data is disappointing. There is also a negative scenario for Silver. In this case XAG/USD may decline to the trendline on the Hourly chart.

There is the uptrend on the Weekly chart as the price is above the MA55. XAG/USD is trading within the 19,30-20,40 range. This week we expect it to go to the lower side of the range and to break it through.

There is no trend on the Hourly chart as the MA-channel is horizontal and the price is close to the MA55. We advise to open long trades from the MA55 area.



Official website: http://www.adamantfinance.com/